Super Bowl XLV Lines: Projected for All Possible Match-Ups

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Created On:

09/07/2011 9:56 PM
Last Update:

05/09/2024 7:02 PM

Super Bowl XLV Lines: Projected for All Possible Match-Ups

01/20/2011 10:34 PM · RJ_Bell

Projected Super Bowl XLV lines:
Packers -1.5 over Steelers (42% likely match-up)
Packers -2.5 over Jets (23% likely match-up)
Steelers -5.5 over Bears (23% likely match-up)
Jets -4.5 over Bears (12% likely match-up)

Early Super Bowl Line: AFC -1 over NFC

Tell us in the comment section . . . any of these point spreads look wrong to you? What side would you like best?

Bonus for math geeks:

	Line from NFC view		Match-up %	weighted line
Packers	-1.5	Steelers	0.42	-0.63
Packers	-2.5	Jets	0.23	-0.575
Steelers	5.5	Bears	0.23	1.265
Jets	4.5	Bears	0.12	0.54

				0.6

So, considering AFC is -1 is many spots, and PK in other spots, the projected lines weighted for the likelihood of the match-up coming out to +.6 for NFC seems RIGHT ON!

More:
> Super Bowl odds
> Prop Bets on Conference Championship games

Topics: NFL odds Super Bowl XLV lines Jets Steelers Bears Packers

RJ_Bell

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RJ Bell is the founder of Pregame.com – a two-time INC. 5000 company, as well as the largest American digital media organization covering Las Vegas news and odds. Pregame is the exclusive odds provider... Read more