Sports Betting and Poker are similiar in that many times I look at the line and read it and say ok based on this number Vegas wants me to do this so I'm going to do the opposite. In poker your opponent makes a bet trying to make you think one thing but your job is to read through it and make the right decision. Last night I had a Big Play on the Celtics I actually bet it the night before. It was about 30 minutes before tip off and I was at Green Valley Ranch playing poker and getting ready to watch the game play some cards and have a few cocktails. The perfect evening in Las Vegas!
Well for 20 minutes I'm sitting there listening to everyone discuss the game at the poker table. Everyone at the table loved the Pistons and to a tee they all said the same thing. Boston struggled with Atlanta and Cleveland and now are playing a rested Piston team. They all said Boston has to be drained from that war with Cleveland on Sunday in Game 7 and that the Pistons were the side. In fact one guy said he bet them on the money line as they are going to win outright.
Well I did something I usually never do I got up from the Poker table walked into the Sportsbook and Bet more. The longer I sat there and listened to everyone thinking the same way I knew my analysis was dead on and I double my already sizeable bet.
Sometimes the public will be right but folks when it looks that easy it usually doesn't happen that way. Yes Detroit was rested but not one person was worried that they would be rusty or that their momentum was broken with 7 days off.
Not one person pointed out that winning a Big Game like Boston did on Sunday builds momentum rather than making you flat. Always listen and look outside the box the answers are always there. Game 1 went just how I predicted and the poker was very good too.
Just another day in paradise from Sunny Las Vegas!!