When teams on a win streak reach the final game of the regular season, it's frequently with a sigh of satisfaction. Contentment, though, often turns to bitter disappointment when they enter the season finale off a straight-up underdog win.
Consider - since 1980 college conference teams off back-to-back victories are just 42-66-3 ATS in season ending games if their last win was as an underdog. This week's team that should be bottoming out is
Northwestern.
Worse news for the Wildcats is the fact that these teams are just 9-25-1 ATS in these games when facing an opponent off a win of more than 10 points in its previous game. If our dive-bombers did not cover the spread by 20 or more points in its aforementioned upset win they dip to 4-22-1 ATS. And to really add to the crash-and-burn pattern, these same teams are 2-20-1 ATS if they failed to win 10 games the previous season.
Northwestern
will try and overcome this ?return to earth' phenomenon on Saturday against Wisconsin.
To that we say, "Look Out Below". It won't be an asteroid you'll hear crashing to earth this weekend. Just the ?Purple Haze'...
Don't miss Marc's Pregame Pros picks all this week