In the majority of cases, rest is considered advantageous for most college football teams, especially late in the season. An extra blow not only helps heal tired bodies but also gives coaches a chance to better study an opponent?s game film in greater detail. However, rested teams during the opening month of the season tend to develop dichotic personalities.
RESTED TEAMS OFF A SEASON OPENING LOSS TEND TO STRUGGLE A week of rest right out of the box in a new season, however, can either help or hinder a team depending on their previous effort and venue. In college football, teams in Game 2, playing off a LOSS with a week of rest, are just 54-68 ATS, including 26-41 ATS when on the road. This week we find Florida Atlantic, Nevada, Temple and Utah State (all away) in this not-so-desirable role.
RESTED TEAMS OFF A SEASON OPENING WIN TEND TO PERFORM WELL On the other side of the coin, college football teams in Game Two, playing off a WIN with a week of rest, are 112-80-4 ATS, with Arkansas, Arizona State, Baylor, Kentucky, Louisville, Miami Fla and Texas A&M are in this role this week. Note: Kentucky and Louisville play one another this week.
When playing foes with wobbly defenses (allow 27 or more PPG on the season), these rested winners improve to 35-12 ATS. Arkansas, Arizona State and Texas A&M all fit the bill on Saturday. That?s this week?s wake-up call. You know what to do...