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06/05/2009 11:18 AM · GoodFella
Justin Verlander tries to win his seventh straight decision and stop a three-game Detroit losing streak as the Tigers take on the Angels at Comerica Park on Friday night. The Angels tagged Verlander for 7 runs and 9 hits, in just 5 IP back in late April, & for his career Verlander is (0-2) with a 6.08 ERA in 4 starts vs the Angels. Since that game he got rocked by the Angels in late April, Verlander is 6-0 with a 1.30 ERA in seven starts, striking out 65 in 48 1-3 innings. Very impressive numbers indeed, & I have backed him on a few occasions during this stretch, but tonihgt I feel confident in going against him, vs this Angels team, he has struggled against. The Angels send out Ervin Santana tonight, & he has been terrible his L/2 starts, & this will keep almost everyone from backing him & the Angels tonight. However, Santana won all three of his starts against the Tigers last year with a 2.38 ERA. That past success vs Detroit, should give Ervin some much needed confidence going into tonights game, & the Angles have had great success vs Verlander in the past: (Abreu 4-9 .444 1 HR) (Vladdy 5-9 .556 1 2B) (Hunter 7-23 .304 2 2B's 1 3B) (Izturis 3-9 .333) (Mathews Jr. 4-8 .500 1 2B 1 3B) Chone Figgins has struggled vs Veralnder (1-11 .091) but as a whole, this group of Angels excels off JV, & thats a mental edge for the Angels tonight. Clearly, this will not be a popular play tonight, & thats just fine with me. I see some definte value with this play tonight, & Detroit slugger Miguel Cabrera could miss this game due to a hamstring injury, that forced him to leave last night's game in the 2nd inning. Curtis Granderson is (4-20 .200) career vs Santana & 3B Brandon Inge is just (3-19 .158). The Angels are 11-4 their L/15 vs Detroit & I really think the Angels are about to get it going as they are finally a healthy ballclub. Detroit has lost 5 straight at home & the Angels have won 7 of their L/10 on the road. I think we really have a live dog here tonight with the Angels & I will play them for (1*).
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