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Goodfella's NBA Notes Monday, January 12, 2009

Milwaukee @ Washington

-Milwaukee comes into tonight off a very dissapointing loss to Minnesota, in a game in which they led by double figures & threw it away in the last few minutes-

-I would look for a very focused, angry, & energized Bucks team tonight-

-Milwaukee is a very impressive 13-7-2 ATS on the road this season-

-Washington is just 7-12 ATS at home this season-

-Washington has dropped four straight overall, the last three against teams with losing records, and has the worst record in the Eastern Conference-

-Washington's Jamison is questionable tonight with an ankle injury-

-Here is what I dont like about the play on Milwaukee tonight....over 80% are backing the short lined road favorite here, & I just like to either fade those plays or sit them out, if I am leaning to the heavily picked side-

Toronto @ Boston

-These teams are playing each other on back to back days, with Boston getting the win yesterday at Toronto, with a 94-88 victory & getting the cover barely-

-Boston has won seven of eight vs. Toronto, including all three meetings this season-

-Jermaine O'Neal, Paul Pierce & Kendrick Perkins are all quesionable for this game-

-Toronto guard Jose Calderon returned yesterday & played 22 minutes-

-Both teams are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights & are on back to backs-

-Toronto had won 4 of 5 prior to the loss to Boston-

-Boston has lost 7 of 10 & are not playing good ball right now-

-The thought of laying double digits with Boston tonight is not appealing to me, & the fact that teams usually split these back to back games makes me lean Toronto here, but not enough to make a play on. Will Boston being at home tonight, help refocus them & get back on track to playing the way they are capable of? They were up on Toronto by 20 pts earlier in the game yesterday-

Indiana @ Utah

-Utah is 5-1 ATS in their L/6 games as a favorite of 10 pts or higher-

-Utah coms into tonights game with a day off yesterday-

-Indiana is playing its 3rd game in 4 nights, & on a back to back-

-Indiana is on its 5th game of a 5 game road trip tonight-

-Indiana is just 3-9-1 ATS in their L/13 road games vs teams with a home win % of .600 or better-

-Indiana is 5-16 ATS vs the top 16 teams (record wise) in the NBA this season-

- Utah is on it's final game of a 3 game homestand here & I feel that most teams like to finish off the last game of a homestand strong & they are less prone for a "letdown" vs a lesser team like Indiana tonight-

- I have a pretty strong lean to Utah here, & I might add them as a 1 or 1.5 Unit play still, as everything points to a double digit win here IMO-

 

 

 

Topics: NBA

GoodFella is a Oregon native, and is a trusted and well respected member of the pregame community. He has consistently posted winners and shown profit in his 11 years at pregame.com. GoodFella has been... Read more

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