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05/22/2011 8:52 PM
MAVERICKS: Dallas continues to simply dominate during the playoffs, both SU and ATS. In fact, the Mavericks have been even more impressive ATS, as they've only lost once ATS during their entire playoff run. The Mavericks are 2 SU wins away from making another NBA Finals appearance. The deadly combination of F Dirk Nowitzki with the plethora of perimeter shooters, while mixing in a strong defensive presence has been the perfect formula for success. Dallas has been incredibly strong playing on the road this season, as they're 32-15 SU and 31-16 ATS. The Mavericks are 8-3 ATS as a road underdog between 3.5 and 6 points this season. Dallas will be facing their largest underdog price against Oklahoma City, considering tonight marks their 7th meeting this season. Nowitzki is averaging 27.7 PPG during the playoffs, shooting better than .50% from both the field and the 3 point line in the process. Nowitzki has been playing at such an elite level this postseason that he's being talked about as a Top 10 player of all time. PG Jason Kidd continues to play at an elite level despite his advanced age. Kidd is averaging 10 PPG and 4.3 RPG, along with a team high 7.5 APG during the playoffs for Dallas. The Mavericks are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600%. Dallas is 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest. The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Finals games. Dallas is 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The Mavericks are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games against the Western Conference. Dallas is 39-18-1 ATS in their last 58 games following a SU win. The Mavericks are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games following an ATS win.
Projected Score: 101
Mavericks are 5-0-1 ATS last 6 playoff games as the listed underdog.
Over is 4-0 last 4 games following a SU win.
THUNDER: (-4, O/U 195.5) Oklahoma City is facing a must win game, as they can ill afford to fall to 1-3 in their 7 game Western Conference Finals battle with Denver. The Thunder were sluggish from the opening tip against Dallas. Oklahoma City only scored 12 points in the 1st Quarter of Game 3, which had them staring at a 15 point deficit. Oklahoma City is 36-13 SU and 24-23 ATS in home games this season. The Thunder are 5-1 ATS as a home favorite between 3.5 and 6 points this season. Oklahoma City is 3-0 ATS when trailing in a playoff series this year. F Kevin Durant is averaging team highs of 29 PPG and 7.7 RPG during the playoffs for Oklahoma City. PG Russell Westbrook is averaging 23.7 PPG and a team high 6.3 APG during the postseason this year. G James Harden has been a difference maker off the bench for the Thunder all season long, and he's averaging 12.7 PPG and 5.3 RPG during the playoffs. The Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite up to 4.5 points. Oklahoma City is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. The Thunder are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 Monday games. The Thunder are 44-21-1 ATS in their last 66 games following a SU loss. Oklahoma City is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games against a team with a winning road record.
Projected Score: 103 (OVER-Total of the Day)
Thunder are 4-0 ATS last 4 games following an ATS loss.
Over is 4-0 last 4 games following a SU loss.
I am a huge fight fan and have a great sense and feel for it. If I had to choose one sport over the other, I would say that I am a bigger boxing fan than MMA fan as I have been watching boxing far longer...
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