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03/07/2011 9:15 PM
BULLS: South Florida might just be the best team in the nation that has lost 8 of their last 9 SU. Such is life in the Big East Conference, the toughest conference in the nation top to bottom. The Bulls are just 9-22 SU this season, yet are 15-13-1 ATS. South Florida has been a profitable team to wager on this year because they are underrated and have a never say die mentality. South Florida is 1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS in true road games this year against BYU and Texas Tech. Despite going 3-15 SU in conference play, the Bulls were 10-8 ATS. South Florida averages just 61.7 PPG, which places them in the bottom 40 in the country. C Augustus Gilchrist is the only South Florida player averaging double digits in PPG this year, as he's averaging 13.2 PPG. F Ron Anderson is averaging 7.1 PPG and a team high 6.5 RPG this year. The Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. Chicago is 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 neutral site games as an underdog. The Bulls are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games.
Projected Score: 60 (SIDE of the Day)
Bulls are 8-3 ATS last 11 games following a SU loss.
Under is 8-3 last 11 games against the Big East Conference.
WILDCATS: (-10, O/U 127) Villanova has dominated South Florida through the years, and they are hoping that trend continues tonight. The Wildcats have lost their last 4 games SU to end the season. The Wildcats are 21-10 SU and 11-16-1 ATS overall this year. Villanova played UCLA and Tennessee in neutral court situations, as they went 1-1 both SU and ATS. The biggest reason the Wildcats have been losing of late is because their typically prolific offense has gone awry. 4 different Wildcats average double figures in PPG this year, led by G Corey Fisher. Fisher is averaging a team high 15.5 PPG this year. F Antonio Pena is averaging 10 PPG and a team high 7.3 RPG this season. 4 different players started every game for Villanova this year. The Wildcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a winning percentage below .400%. Villanova is 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games following an ATS loss. The Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as the listed favorite. Villanova is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss. The Wildcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as the listed favorite overall.
Projected Score: 64
Wildcats are 1-11 ATS last 12 games overall.
Under is 10-4 last 14 games following a SU loss.
BULLDOGS: (-3, O/U 137) Few can forget the March Madness run that Butler had last year. They play tonight for another Horizon Conference Tournament Championship. The Bulldogs haven't been as dominant as they were last year, but this is still an exceptional team. Butler is 22-9 SU and 14-13-2 ATS overall this season. The Bulldogs are 6-6 SU and 4-7 ATS in true road games this season. Butler is 0-2 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or fewer this year. The Bulldogs were just 7-11 ATS against Horizon League opponents. Revenge is likely to play a factor tonight, considering 2 of the Bulldogs 9 losses this season have come against Wisconsin Milwaukee. F Matt Howard has had another impressive season, as he leads the Bulldogs with 16.7 PPG and 7.9 RPG this year. G Shelvin Mack is averaging 15.3 PPG and a team high 3.6 APG for Butler this season. The Bulldogs are 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. Butler is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games. The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. Butler is 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as the listed favorite.
Projected Score: 74 (OVER-Total of the Day)
Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS last 6 games following an ATS win.
Under is 7-3 last 10 games as a road favorite.
PANTHERS: Wisconsin Milwaukee has a decided advantage tonight, as they get to face Butler tonight in front of their home fans. The Panthers won both meetings against Butler this season, both games coming as a double digit underdog within a span of 3 weeks. Wisconsin Milwaukee was a 10 point home underdog to Butler on January 3rd. The Panthers are 19-12 SU and 18-13 ATS overall this season. Wisconsin Milwaukee is 10-4 SU and 8-5 ATS at home this season. The Panthers are 9-8 ATS as the listed underdog this year, including 1-0 as a home underdog of 3 PTS or fewer. F Anthony Hill has been dominant this year, as he's averaging team highs of 15.6 PPG and 6.5 RPG this year. G Kaylon Williams is averaging 8.5 PPG and a team high 5.5 APG this season. The Panthers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Wisconsin Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog. The Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win. Wisconsin Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. The Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Wisconsin Milwaukee is 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games.
Projected Score: 70
Panthers are 7-0 ATS last 7 games against the Horizon League.
Over is 5-1 last 6 games as a home underdog.
I am a huge fight fan and have a great sense and feel for it. If I had to choose one sport over the other, I would say that I am a bigger boxing fan than MMA fan as I have been watching boxing far longer...
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