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04/28/2011 8:34 PM
SPURS: San Antonio is lucky to even be here as they miraculously won game 5 at home. The Spurs needed two last second shots from Manu Ginobli and reserve guard Gary Neal. Ultimately, the Spurs experience proved to be the difference. San Antonio has struggled this season playing in Memphis. The Spurs are 25-18 SU and 26-16 ATS. San Antonio is 9-6 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or fewer this season. Defensively, San Antonio must get tougher defending the paint. Forward Tim Duncan needs to play his best game of the series tonight for the Spurs to win and force a Game 7. The Spurs are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest. San Antonio is 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games against a team with a winning SU record. The Spurs are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Spurs are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games. San Antonio is 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Spurs are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against the Western Conference.
Projected Score: 97 (SIDE of the day)
Spurs are 3-13 ATS last 16 playoff games as the listed underdog.
Over is 5-1 last 6 games as a road underdog.
GRIZZLIES: (-3, O/U 190) Memphis has a monumental home game tonight, as they can become just the second #8 seed to ever win a 7 game playoff series. Memphis nearly won game 5, but fell just short in overtime. Memphis will look to pound the ball into the paint where they have their biggest advantage against San Antonio. The Grizzlies have been brilliant at home this season as they are 32-11 SU and 28-14 ATS. The Grizzlies are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games. Memphis is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games against a team with a winning road record. The Grizzlies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as the listed favorite. Memphis is 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Grizzlies are 39-12-2 ATS in their last 53 games against the Western Conference. Memphis is 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games playing on 1 days rest. The Grizzlies are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games. Memphis is 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%.
Projected Score: 94
Grizzlies are 21-5 ATS last 26 games following a SU loss.
Over is 4-0 last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
I am a huge fight fan and have a great sense and feel for it. If I had to choose one sport over the other, I would say that I am a bigger boxing fan than MMA fan as I have been watching boxing far longer...
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