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03/16/2011 8:03 PM
NITTANY LIONS: Penn St. nearly shocked the world, as they made it all the way to the Big 10 Conference Championship game. Penn St. was on the NCAA Tournament bubble, but their amazing run solidified their spot in the Big Dance. The Nittany Lions finished the season at 19-14 SU and 16-11-2 ATS. Penn St. was 3-1 SU and ATS in neutral court settings, with each game coming in the Big 10 Conference Tournament. The Nittany Lions were 11-8 ATS as the listed underdog this season. Penn St. was just 2-5 ATS in non-conference play this year. Penn St. has been playing amazing defense of late, so it will be interesting to see which defense wins out today. G Talor Battle is the primary scoring option for the Nittany Lions, as he averages a team high 20.1 PPG this year. F Jeff Brooks averages 13.3 PPG and a team high 6.5 RPG this season. The Nittany Lions are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss. Penn St. is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. The Nittany Lions are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. Penn St. is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Projected Score: 55
Nittany Lions are 10-4 ATS last 14 games as an underdog.
Over is 5-2 last 7 games following an ATS loss.
OWLS: (-2.5, O/U 121.5) Temple had a very strong year, as they went 25-7 SU overall and 14-2 SU in A-10 Conference play this season. Going 14-2 SU in the A-10 Conference is amazing, considering just how strong this conference has been this year. The Owls went 17-15 ATS overall this season, including 14-11 ATS as the listed favorite. Temple was a solid 9-5 ATS in non-conference games this season. Temple is used to playing under the bright lights, but Coach Dunphy has struggled in such situations. Dunphy has been lost 11 consecutive NCAA Tournament games as Head Coach, an NCAA Record. The Owls are 2-3 SU and ATS in neutral court settings this year. Temple will look to play suffocating defense today against Penn St. The Owls are known for their superb defense, and this year is no exception. G Ramone Moore is averaging a team high 14.9 PPG this season for the Owls. Temple is happy to have F Scootie Randall back in the fold, as he's been out with an injury for the past several games. The Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. Temple is 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games as the listed favorite. The Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. Temple is 23-11-1 ATS in their last 35 games against a team with a winning SU record. The Owls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Owls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against the Big Ten. Temple is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games.
Owls are 21-8 ATS last 29 games following a SU loss.
Under is 10-2 last 12 neutral site games.
SPARTANS: (-1.5 O/U 125) Michigan St. turned it on just enough to qualify for the NCAA Tournament. The Spartans had a miserable regular season, considering their overall #2 ranking to start the season. Regardless, the Spartans are one team nobody wants to face right now. Michigan St. typically plays their best basketball of the season in March, thanks to the coaching prowess of Coach Izzo. The Spartans are 19-14 SU and just 11-20-1 ATS this season. Michigan St. played 5 neutral court games during the regular season, going 3-2 SU and 1-4 ATS during that stretch. Michigan St. is just 6-15 ATS as the listed favorite this year. G Kalin Lucas enters the NCAA Tournament on a roll, and he typically saves his best work for the games with the highest stakes. Lucas averages a team high 17.2 PPG this year, along with 3.3 APG. F Draymond Green does everything for the Spartans, as he averages 12.3 PPG a team high 8.6 RPG, and even 4 APG this season. The Spartans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games against the PAC-10 Conference. Michigan St. is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games. The Spartans are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall. Michigan St. is 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU loss. The Spartans are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss.
Projected Score: 62
Spartans are 17-4-1 ATS last 22 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.
Under is 10-1 last 11 games against the PAC-10 Conference.
BRUINS: UCLA ended the season on a sour note, as they were dominated by Oregon in the PAC-10 Tournament. Prior to that loss, the Bruins were playing their best basketball of the season. UCLA is 22-10 SU and 16-15-1 ATS overall this season. UCLA played 3 neutral court games this season, beating BYU and losing to Villanova and VCU. The Bruins are a dangerous Tournament team, as they have a powerful front line as well as as a strong defensive presence. Coach Howland is a great tournament coach, so Michigan St. certainly has their hands full. The Bruins are 3-4 ATS as the listed underdog this year. F Reeves Nelson leads UCLA with team highs of 13.9 PPG and 9 RPG this season. G Malcolm Lee is 2nd on the team in scoring, averaging 13 PPG this year. The Bruins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. UCLA is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. The Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. UCLA is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games as the listed underdog. The Bruins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games.
Bruins are 7-0 ATS last 7 games against a team with a winning SU record.
Over is 7-1 last 8 neutral site games as an underdog.
I am a huge fight fan and have a great sense and feel for it. If I had to choose one sport over the other, I would say that I am a bigger boxing fan than MMA fan as I have been watching boxing far longer...
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