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03/02/2011 9:35 PM
MAGIC: Orlando has won their past 3 games SU, and they've looked dominant at times during this stretch. The Magic are currently in 4th place in the Eastern Conference heading into tonight. Orlando is 39-22 SU and 28-32-1 ATS overall this season. Tonight is a huge game for the Magic, as they get an opportunity to split the season series with the team they are looking directly up at in their division. Orlando is 15-13 SU and 11-16 ATS on the road this season. The Magic are 1-5 ATS as the listed underdog this season, including 0-4 ATS as a road underdog between 3.5 and 6 PTS. Orlando is allowing just 94.3 PPG this season, 5th fewest in the NBA. The biggest reason for the Magic's defensive success is the play and effort of star C Dwight Howard. Howard is averaging 2.2 BPG this season, 3rd most in the NBA. Howard is also averaging team highs of 23.3 PPG and 13.9 RPG this season. G Jameer Nelson is averaging 12.6 PPG and a team high 6.2 APG for the Magic this year. The Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss. Orlando is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games. The Magic are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win. Orlando is 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 road games against a team with a winning home record.
Projected Score: 100 (SIDE of the Day)
Magic are 3-12-2 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
Under is 9-2 last 11 games overall.
HEAT: (-4.5, O/U 198) Miami has lost 2 of their last 3 games SU, both times scoring less than 90 PTS. The Heat are trying to catch the Celtics in the Eastern Conference, as they currently trail them by 1.5 games. Miami is 43-17 SU and 29-30-1 ATS overall this season. The Heat are 22-6 SU and 10-17 ATS at home this year. With a SU win tonight, Miami will win the season series with Orlando 3-1. Miami is averaging 102 PPG this season, 9th most in the NBA. F LeBron James is destined to win yet another MVP award, as he's having arguably his finest season ever. James is averaging team highs of 26.2 PPG and 7.2 APG this year, as well as 7.5 RPG. Defensively, the Heat are allowing 94.4 PPG, sixth fewest in the league. Miami is 1-1 ATS as a home favorite between 3.5 and 6 PTS this year. The Heat are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss. Miami is 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Heat are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as the listed favorite. Miami is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Projected Score: 99
Heat are 0-4 ATS last 4 games against the Eastern Conference.
Over is 9-3 last 12 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%.
NUGGETS: Denver might have made their blockbuster trade much earlier had they known how well their team was going to respond. The Nuggets are playing their best basketball of the season, and having fun as a team in the process. Denver has won 4 of their last 5 games SU, with each win coming by at least 7 PTS. The Nuggets are 35-36 SU and 28-30-3 ATS overall this year. Denver is currently in 5th place in the Western Conference playoff standings. The Nuggets are just 10-19 SU and 14-15 ATS in road games this year. Denver is 12-11 ATS as the listed underdog this season, including 2-0 ATS as a road underdog between 3.5 and 6 PTS. F Wilson Chandler is fitting in well with his new team, as he's averaging 18 PPG while shooting nearly 50% from the field. C Nene Hilario is averaging 14.9 PPG and a team high 7.2 RPG for the Nuggets this season The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning SU record. Denver is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against the NBA Northwest. The Nuggets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on zero days rest. Denver is 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a road underdog up to 4.5 points.
Projected Score: 106
Nuggets are 5-0 ATS last 5 games overall.
Over is 6-0 last 6 games against the Western Conference.
JAZZ: (-3.5, O/U 210) Utah can't buy a win, regardless of how hard they try. The Jazz have lost 7 of their last 8 games overall SU heading into tonight's contest with Denver. Utah has had a tumultuous season, as they are still getting over the loss of PG Deron Williams and Coach Jerry Sloan. The Jazz are 32-29 SU and 26-34-1 ATS overall this year. Utah is 17-14 SU and 12-19 ATS at home this season. The Jazz are just 1-4 ATS as a home favorite between 3.5 and 6 PTS this year. Utah has alternated SU wins and losses with Denver over their last 5 meetings. The Jazz need to pick up their defensive intensity immediately, as they've allowed 5 of their last 6 opponents to score at least 102 PTS. F Al Jefferson is averaging team highs of 18 PPG and 9.2 RPG for the Jazz this season. F Paul Millsap is averaging 17.3 PPG and 7.9 RPG this year. The Jazz are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games. Utah is 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games against the Western Conference. The Jazz are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games overall. Utah is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games against a team with a winning SU record.
Projected Score: 112 (OVER-Total of the Day)
Jazz are 0-5 ATS last 5 games as a home favorite.
Over is 11-1 last 12 games playing on 2 days rest.
I am a huge fight fan and have a great sense and feel for it. If I had to choose one sport over the other, I would say that I am a bigger boxing fan than MMA fan as I have been watching boxing far longer...
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