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05/08/2011 9:16 PM
HEAT: Miami lost Game 3 in Boston, but there are plenty of experts that believe they will win Game 4. After opening as a 1.5 underdog, the line quickly dropped to a PK. Considering they were the listed underdog in Game 3 and lost by double digits, it was a strong early move in favor of Miami. The Heat are 29-15 SU and 25-18 ATS overall on the road this season. Miami is 4-4 ATS in all playoff games this year. The Heat are 3-3 ATS this season after scoring 85 points or fewer in their previous game. G Dwyane Wade is averaging a team high 25 PPG during the playoffs this year. F LeBron James is averaging 24.1 PPG, and team highs of 9.1 PPG and 5.3 APG during the playoffs. The Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Monday games. Miami is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning SU record. Miami is 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 Conference Semifinals games. The Heat are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
Projected Score: 88
Heat are 6-2 ATS last 8 road games.
Over is 4-0 last 4 games following a SU loss.
CELTICS: (-PK, O/U 181) Boston played brilliant basketball in the 2nd half of Game 3, earning a much needed 97-81 SU win. The Celtics are now 1 win away from tying their best of 7 game series with the Heat at 2-2. Boston is 36-8 SU and 19-21 ATS in home games this season. The Celtics have only played 2 home games this season where they weren't the listed favorite. F Paul Pierce is averaging a team high 21.1 PPG during the playoffs, including 2.7 made three pointers per game. F Kevin Garnett had a dominant Game 3, as he had 28 points and 18 rebounds, arguably his finest playoff performance ever. PG Rajon Rondo staved off a serious injury during Game 3, and he'll need to be 100% if Boston has any chance of advancing to the Eastern Conference Finals. Rondo is averaging 15.7 PPG and a team high 11.1 APG. The Celtics are just 7-25 ATS following a SU win of more than 10 points. Boston is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS win. The Celtics are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 Monday games. Boston is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. The Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against the Southeast Division.
Projected Score: 95 (SIDE of the Day)
Celtics are 5-2 ATS last 7 home games.
Under is 14-3 last 17 games playing on 1 days rest.
THUNDER: Oklahoma City can only shake their heads for their miscues in the 2nd half of Game 3, as they let a golden opportunity slip through their fingers to earn back home court advantage against Memphis. The Thunder looked like they were going to win Game 3 in a blowout, but their youth and playoff inexperience proved to be their demise. Oklahoma City must play with more composure and avoid turnovers if they are to win in Memphis. The Thunder are 26-18 SU and 24-19 ATS in road games overall this season. Oklahoma City is 4-5 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or fewer this year. F Kevin Durant had 22 points and 12 rebounds in Game 3, and he'll look to be even more aggressive offensively tonight. Durant is averaging a team high 30.4 PPG during the playoffs this year. PG Russell Westbrook is averaging 24.4 PPG and a team high 6.9 APG this postseason. F Serge Ibaka is averaging 11.1 PPG and a team high 10 RPG during the playoffs. The Thunder are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Oklahoma City is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games. The Thunder are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Oklahoma City is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Projected Score: 101
Thunder are 7-3-1 AT last 11 games following an ATS loss.
Over is 6-1 last 7 games against a team with a winning SU record.
GRIZZLIES: (-2.5, O/U 198) With a win tonight, Memphis can take a commanding 3-1 series lead over Oklahoma City. The improbable playoff run of the Grizzlies continue, as they continue to gain more and more confidence with each win. Memphis came from 16 points down in the 2nd half to win in overtime in Game 3, 101-93. F Zach Randolph had an unbelievable 21 points and 21 rebounds in the Game 3 victory. For the entire postseason, Randolph is averaging 22.1 PPG and 10.6 RPG. C Marc Gasol is averaging 14.9 PPG and a team high 11.6 RPG during the playoffs. Memphis is 34-11 SU and 30-14 ATS in home games this season. The Grizzlies are 9-2 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or fewer this year. The Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Monday games. Memphis is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. The Grizzlies are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games against the Northwest Division. Memphis is 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a SU win. The Grizzlies are 50-20-1 ATS in their last 71 games overall. Memphis is 38-16-1 ATS in their last 55 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%.
Projected Score: 103 (OVER-Total of the Day)
Grizzlies are 20-7 ATS last 27 games as a home favorite.
Over is 7-0 last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
I am a huge fight fan and have a great sense and feel for it. If I had to choose one sport over the other, I would say that I am a bigger boxing fan than MMA fan as I have been watching boxing far longer...
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