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03/17/2011 8:42 PM
TIGERS: Memphis enters the NCAA Tournament red hot, and as a team that is flying under the radar. The Tigers won the C-USA Tournament Championship, thanks to a 67-66 win over UTEP. While extremely young, the Tigers have found ways to have great success in games decided in the final minute. That character will likely serve them well in the NCAA Tournament. Memphis is 25-9 SU and 12-17-2 ATS overall this season. The Tigers wer 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in neutral court settings this year. Coach Pastner might know the Wildcats as well as anyone, as he was a fixture on their coaching staff for quite some time. Memphis will look to use his uncanny knowledge for today's matchup. G Will Barton leads a balanced group of Tigers in scoring this season, as he's averaging 12.3 PPG. F Tarik Black is averaging 9.2 PPG and a team high 5.2 RPG this season. The Tigers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. Memphis is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Friday games. The Tigers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. Memphis is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win. The Tigers are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games.
Tigers are 6-2 ATS last 8 neutral site games as an underdog.
Over is 9-1 last 10 NCAA Tournament games.
WILDCATS: (-6, O/U 139) All is well in the world, as Arizona is back in the NCAA Tournament. The Wildcats has played in 25 consecutive NCAA Tournaments before missing last years event. Arizona had had a great season, as they come into the Tournament as the PAC-10 regular season conference champions. Arizona should be plenty motivated, as they lost on a buzzer beater that would have earned them the Conference Tournament Championship. Arizona is 27-7 SU and 17-14-1 ATS overall this season. The Wildcats played 3 neutral court games during the regular season, beating Santa Clara SU and losing to both Kansas and BYU. Arizona also went 2-1 ATS during that stretch, losing only to BYU. Arizona is 13-10 ATS as the listed favorite this season. Against non-conference opponents this year, the Wildcats were 8-3 ATS. F Derrick Williams has been a beat this year, as he's averaging team highs of 19.1 PPG and 8.1 RPG this season. Williams is also in the running as a Top 3 pick in the NBA Draft, should he decide to declare. The Wildcats are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win. Arizona is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the C-USA. The Wildcats are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games. Arizona is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. The Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Arizona is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss.
Wildcats are 4-1 ATS last 5 NCAA Tournament games as the listed favorite.
Over is 9-2 last 11 games as a favorite.
FIGHTING ILLINI: Illinois has been hit and miss for the past few months, not the form you want to have entering the NCAA Tournament. The Illini have been one of the biggest underachieving teams this season. Illinois is 19-13 SU and 16-15-1 ATS overall this season. The Illini are just 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS when playing in neutral court settings this year. In fact, Illinois is just 5-11 SU away from home this season. Coach Weber has done everything he can, both privately and publicly to get through to his team. G Demetri McCamey does it all for the Fighting Illini, as he averages team highs of 14.8 PPG and 6.1 APG this season. F Mike Davis is averaging 12 PPG and a team high 7.1 RPG this year for the Illini. The Fighting Illini are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as the listed underdog. Illinois is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. The Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS last 5 neutral site games.
Under is 13-4 last 17 NCAA Tournament games.
RUNNIN REBELS: (-2, O/U 132.5) UNLV is team that comes in the NCAA Tournament under the radar. Part of that reason is based on the perception of the conference the Runnin Rebels play in. The problem with that flawed thinking is the simple fact that the Mountain West Conference had the 4th strongest RPI in the nation this season. UNLV is 24-8 SU and 13-18 ATS overall this season. 5 of the Runnin Rebels 8 losses have come against Top 10 powers San Diego St. and BYU. UNLV is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in true neutral court settings this season. The Runnin Rebels are 6-5 ATS as a single digit favorite this year. Despite being a "mid-major" UNLV is incredibly long and athletic. Facing a team from the Big Ten isn't going to intimidate the Runnin Rebels in the least. G Tre'Von Willis leads UNLV in scoring this year, as he averages 13.5 PPG. F Chace Stanback is averaging 13 PPG and a team high 6 RPG this season for UNLV. If the Runnin Rebels are able to shoot like they have been for the past 6 weeks, beating Illinois is highly probable.
Runnin Rebels are 2-5 ATS last 7 non-conference games.
Under is 6-1 last 7 games following a SU loss.
I am a huge fight fan and have a great sense and feel for it. If I had to choose one sport over the other, I would say that I am a bigger boxing fan than MMA fan as I have been watching boxing far longer...
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