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05/07/2011 9:01 PM
LAKERS: Los Angeles is staring elimination in the face, and they have nobody but themselves to blame. The Lakers had a legitimate shot at winning Game 3, yet crumbled once again in the closing minutes of the 4th quarter. The Lakers are now 1 loss away from potentially losing their title as a dynasty. Los Angeles is 29-16 SU and 25-20 ATS in road games this season. The Lakers are 2-3 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or fewer. G Kobe Bryant is coming off a 17 point performance, not nearly enough points for the Lakers to be successful. Considering tonight's stakes, Bryant is likely to be an offensive force tonight. Bryant is averaging a team high 23.4 PPG during the playoffs. The Lakers are just 3-6 ATS in the postseason this year. The Lakers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games against a team with a winning home record. Los Angeles is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss. The Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as the listed road underdog. Los Angeles is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU loss. The Lakers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games.
Projected Score: 91 (UNDER-Total of the Day)
Lakers are 5-11 ATS last 16 games overall.
Under is 20-7-1 ast 28 games as a road underdog.
MAVERICKS: (-2.5, O/U 188) Dallas is one win from one of the most shocking sweeps in NBA history. The Mavericks are up 3-0 in their best of 7 series with the Lakers, and one more win will punch their ticket to the Western Conference Finals. Dallas has proved to be stellar in the 4th quarter, as they have been able to execute their offense in the closing minutes. Dallas is 33-12 SU and 23-20 ATS in home games this season. The Mavericks are 3-1 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or fewer this year. Dallas has yet to lose ATS in the playoffs, as they are 8-0-1 ATS. F Dirk Nowitzki is averaging a team high 27.6 PPG, and he's been particularly clutch in the 4th quarter. The Mavericks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as the listed favorite. Dallas is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Mavericks are 10-0-1 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning SU record. Dallas is 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest. The Mavericks are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 Sunday games. Dallas is 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall. The Mavericks are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games against the Pacific Division. Dallas is 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 games following an ATS win.
Projected Score: 90
Mavericks are 7-0 ATS last 7 games as a home favorite.
Under is 10-4 last 14 games playing on 1 days rest.
BULLS: (-3.5, O/U 179) Chicago has played their past 2 playoff games like a championship contender. The Bulls played arguably their most complete game of the postseason during their Game 3 blowout win over Atlanta. The Bulls have played lockdown defense, by far their trademark. PG Derrick Rose scored an amazing 44 points in Game 3, taking over the game offensively from the opening tip. Rose is averaging a team high 28.9 PPG and 7.3 APG during the playoffs. The Bulls are 28-16 SU and 27-17 ATS in road games this season. Chicago is 7-6 ATS as a road favorite between 3.5 and 6 points this year. The Bulls are 4-4 ATS in the playoffs this season. The Bulls are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games against the Southeast Division. Chicago is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games. The Bulls are 36-16 ATS in their last 52 road games against a team with a winning home record. Chicago is 41-20 ATS in their last 61 games playing on 1 days rest. The Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win. Chicago is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win.
Projected Score: 87
Bulls are 7-3 ATS last 10 games as a road favorite.
Over is 7-2 last 9 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
HAWKS: Atlanta saw their home court advantage go away in just 1 game. The Hawks were dominated by the Bulls in Game 3, losing 82-99 SU. Atlanta is now facing a must win scenario, as they simply can't afford to go down 1-3 in their best of 7 series with Chicago. Atlanta needs to be more efficient offensively, and not settle for jump shot after jump shot. The Hawks have struggled mightily offensively against Chicago all season long, as they've been held to 83 points or fewer in 5 of their 6 meetings. Atlanta is 27-18 SU and 19-26 ATS in home games this season. The Hawks are 2-4 ATS as a home underdog between 3.5 and 6 points this year. Atlanta has been profitable during the playoffs, as they've gone 6-3 ATS. Only 1 Hawks player is shooting better than 43.5% from the field during the playoffs, and that's PG Jeff Teague. Teague is averaging 11.4 PPG during his time running the point for Atlanta while filling in for injured Guard Kirk Hinrich. F Joe Johnson is averaging a team high 18.7 PPG during the postseason. The Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games. Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog up to 4.5 points. The Hawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest. The Hawks are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games.
Projected Score: 91 (SIDE of the Day)
Hawks are 1-8 ATS last 9 home games against a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600%.
Under is 8-1 last 9 home games.
I am a huge fight fan and have a great sense and feel for it. If I had to choose one sport over the other, I would say that I am a bigger boxing fan than MMA fan as I have been watching boxing far longer...
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