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02/26/2011 3:11 AM · GM of Picks
Cougars: It's not often BYU gets overshadowed in the Mountain West Conference. However, that's been exactly the case this year, as San Diego St. has been the golden team in the MWC. BYU has already beaten the Aztecs once this season, and they will look to repeat that tonight. Last season, the Cougars won a hotly contested game in San Diego. The Cougars are 26-2 SU and 11-13 ATS overall this season, ranking them 7th in the nation. On top of all the hype surrounding this game on a national level, the Mountain West Conference championship is at stake too. BYU is 10-1 SU and 6-4 ATS in true road games this season. The Cougars are 1-0 both SU and ATS as the listed underdog this season. G Jimmer Fredette has turned into a rock star and cult hero this season, as he's averaging an unbelievable 27.4 PPG this season. Fredette is also averaging a team high 4.2 APG this season, as well as 3.4 RPG. F Brandon Davies is averaging 11.4 PPG and a team high 6.2 RPG this season. The Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. BYU is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record.
Projected Score: 65
Cougars are 5-2 ATS last 7 road games.
Over is 8-2 last 10 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%.
Aztecs (-3, O/U 141): Today's contest is easily the biggest game in school history for San Diego St. The Aztecs are currently ranked 4th in the nation, thanks to a 27-1 SU and 16-10 ATS overall record. San Diego St. has revenge on their minds, as they lost earlier this year at BYU. The Aztecs were leading that game at the half, but ultimately got Jimmered. The Aztecs are a perfect 14-0 SU and 7-5 ATS in home games this year. San Diego St. is 7-1 ATS as a single digit favorite this season. With a win today, San Diego St. has a legitimate shot at an overall #1 seen in the NCAA Tournament. F Kawhi Leonard is averaging team highs of 15.2 PPG and 10.7 RPG this year. Leonard is an NBA Lottery pick in waiting, whenever he decides to declare. PG D.J. Gay is averaging 12.1 PPG and a team high 3.5 APG this year, while providing immeasurable leadership for the Aztecs. The Aztecs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games against a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600%. San Diego St. is 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games against a team with a winning SU record. The Aztecs are 30-12-1 ATS in their last 43 Saturday games. San Diego St. is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win.
Projected Score: 74 (Side of the Day)
Aztecs are 14-3 ATS last 17 home games against a team with a winning road record.
Under is 11-3 last 14 games following a SU win.
Gators: Florida is playing their best basketball of the season right now, as they're on a 6 game winning streak. The Gators are a relatively underrated team this year, considering they are 22-5 SU. Florida is currently ranked 12th in the nation heading into tonight's contest against their bitter rival. Coach Donovan is having arguably his finest season coaching this group of Gators. Despite their 22-5 SU record, the Gators are just 10-13 ATS this year. Florida is 8-2 SU and 5-4 ATS in true road games this season. The Gators are a perfect 6-0 both SU and ATS as the listed underdog this year. G Erving Walker is averaging a team high 14.8 PPG this season for the Gators. F Chandler Parsons is averaging team highs of 7.7 RPG and 3.6 APG this year, in addition to 11 PPG. Parsons has flashed his all court game all season long for Florida. The Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%.
Projected Score: 69
Gators are 4-1 ATS last 5 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600%.
Under is 18-7 last 25 Saturday games.
Wildcats (-8, O/U 136.5): Kentucky is starting to be quite predictable, as they can't lose at home, yet can't win on the road. The Wildcats have revenge fresh on their minds, as they lost a nailbiter earlier this month to the Gators. Kentucky has lost 4 of their last 7 games SU, with all 4 contests coming on the road. The Wildcats are 19-8 SU and 10-12 ATS overall this season. Kentucky is currently ranked 22nd in the nation heading into tonight. The Wildcats are a perfect 13-0 SU at home, including just 4-4 ATS this season. Kentucky is playing just their 2nd home game of the season as a single digit home favorite. G Brandon Knight leads Kentucky with 17.7 PPG and 4 APG this season, both team highs. F Terrance Jones is averaging 17.6 PPG and a team high 9.1 RPG this year. The Wildcats are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS loss. Kentucky is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600%. The Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Kentucky is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against the SEC.
Projected Score: 76 (Over - Total of the Day)
Wildcats are 7-3 ATS last 10 games following a SU loss.
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