Prelude: Due to a nasty flu, we didn't end up having an NFL blog last week. It felt weird, and didn't help with our handicapping. I award myself two thumbs down for not getting it done. Anyway, back to the quick PERCEPTION LINE ERROR notes on EVERY game, since, dammit, that's what I've been doing since last December. I will make the following statement, and I challenge anyone to disprove it: "No one, Pro or otherwise... Read more

Prelude: Same prelude as last week, just a scheduling note: with NBA Blogs coming out nightly, I'll likely go back to adding all the games with early lines on Sunday or Monday, and all the games with lines that come out later in the week on Wednesday or Thursday. So, gone are the days of adding 3 NFL updates every 24 hours -- we'll just fire out the games in 2 big waves, and go to town on 'em. Pro Notes: 1) NFL... Read more

Prelude: Nothing new, really. Back to the grind! With NBA Blogs coming out nightly, I'll likely go back to adding all the games with early lines on Sunday or Monday, and all the games with lines that come out later in the week on Wednesday or Thursday. So, gone are the Blogs of daily NFL updates -- we'll just fire out the games in 2 big waves, and go to town on 'em. Anyway, back to the quick PERCEPTION LINE ERROR notes... Read more

Prelude: In last week's blog, we talked about how we will continue to go "bigger" on games that have more line value, and we'll continue to play any game with enough value to make a play, and that even though week 7 was a 1-3 turd, the perception errors will always lead to a winning end result. This most recent week (number 8), we looked smart! While the plays of minor value went just 1-2 for a loss of 1.1 units, the... Read more

Prelude: Last week was the MOST VIEWED, and GREATEST NUMBER OF RESPONSES of any NFL Blog so far, and I can't thank you all enough for weighing in on every game, and really making it interactive! We had some great plays that panned out, and we had some almost-good plays that fizzled because of unbelievable 6-turnover performances, missed 2-pt conversions, a 4-turnover half, and other kooky stuff that only sports makes... Read more

Prelude: Hopefully you all noticed, there was no blog last week. I wrote it in a few places, but as I'm reminded, not everyone sees everything, so very quickly... Last week was blog-less because I was spending time with close friends here in Michigan to mourn the death of an incredible person, a future doctor, and a true world-changer. Life can be shit. Pardon my language, but sometimes, that's just what needs to be... Read more

Prelude: As noted last week, the blog is being pared down to just an analysis of PUBLIC PERCEPTION, and how it creates betting value! The blog last week absolutely hammered the misaligned perceptions in about 10 games, and, not surprisingly, led to a perfect 5-0 sweep on my card. I hope you guys used the info properly, as well! Pro Notes: 1) NFL -- SUNDAY ALL ACCESS PASS -- off a 5-0 Jumbo-Sweep, I expect ALL... Read more

Prelude: This week, and all weeks moving forward, the blog will shorten up just a tad. The first 2 blogs focused largely on perception angles, but also included a good deal of other notes. From here on out, the blog will focus SOLELY on how perception is creating or demolishing value, and it's going to be up to YOU all to fill in notes on matchups, line moves, and other key game insight. I really want this blog to be... Read more

Prelude: This heading is pretty standard this week, and should remain so, barring some big blog changes, which I don't foresee. Week 2 Recap and Lessons Learned : I think this section was a nice little addition to week 2's MegaBlog, but it's really as much about forum participation as my own work. For me, I learned that the game that I based a good deal of my week 2 predictions upon was a complete disaster, and... Read more

Prelude: The NFL Week One Blog led to a ton of great notes, analyses of public perception, winners, and discussion. But that was just the beginning. Moving forward, I'd like to try to continue to put together a comprehensive NFL blog breaking down every single game, much the way I have done with NBA and MLB since December of last year. It hasn't been easy - it has taken countless hours, and it has ALL been 100% free... Read more