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  • Created On:
    09/07/2011 9:56 PM
  • Last Update:
    01/17/2019 7:25 AM

NBA Daily Message Card 01/03


NBA results:

NBA 2006-07: +94.62 units     | 1-2-3* MM: +32.21 units 
NBA 2007-08: +144.07 units
NBA 2008-09: +22.77 units
NBA 2009-10: +98.36 units

NBA 2010/11 SEASON RECORD:  (+36.15 units)

NBA 2010/11 SEASON RECORD 1-2-3 MM:  (+10.48 units)


Ranked #1 NBA at Sports-Watch of LV

Ranked #2 NBA in Net Wins at The Sports Monitor of OK

NBA Yesterday’s recap:

3 units on OVER IND/NYK 210  LOSS

3 units on UNDER BOS/TOR 197.5   WIN

3 units on UNDER DAL/CLE 189.5   LOSS

3 units on PORTLAND (-3)   WIN

4 units on UNDER PHX/SAC 206.5   WIN

3 units on LA LAKERS (-9)   LOSS

Daily Message:

After starting the day with a bad tasting loss with the Over IND/NYK, we finished the night by going 3-2 including an easy winner with our Double Dime Play (Under PHX/SAC). Nevertheless, it was a mediocre day in the NBA, as we finished the day with a marginal profit (+0.10un or +0.70 w/1-2-3* MM).

There are some teams right now that I’m having some problems to make a perfect and accurate read; one of them is the LA Lakers. The Lakers had a perfect spot to make a good game against the Grizzlies last night. Memphis was coming from a tough game in Utah in the previous night in which all their 5 starters logged more than 30 minutes of action. The Grizzlies are a team that needs badly to score down low in order to be effective, but the Lakers had a returning Andrew Bynum in the starting lineup doing some nice things in the last 2 games, so the Lakers big men size would have some edge in this matchup. If we added to the mix that the Grizzlies have beaten the Lakers in the last h2h then the Lakers would have a nice setup for a blowout win. What happened then? Well, the Grizzlies scored 50 points in the paint (vs. just 36 from LAL); they grabbed 12 offensive boards (vs. just 6 from LAL) and scored 28 fast break points (vs. 5 from LAL).

Brief note: I don’t remember seeing so many NBA games on this Christmas span, so fatigue as being a problem for the teams. Since the Christmas day, the Under is 76-54-2 (using closing lines) including a remarkable 33-13-1 record when we were dealing with home favorite teams.

For today, we have a card of 6 games to work. I’m working on the card right now, so the first update will be released soon.

NOTE 2: I’ve made an update on my past records (2006-07) and now they are available on a 1-2-3un* MM system.

Injury report: Gerald Wallace is out; Tyrus Thomas is probable; Brandon Bass is questionable; Andre Iguodala is out (2 weeks); Rodney Stuckey is probable; C.J. Miles is questionable and Al Harrington is questionable;




NBA - 711 Houston Rockets @ 712 Denver Nuggets


Projected line: Denver by 3 points

Last night I took the Blazers (and faded the Rockets) for an easy winner and I was anticipating that the Blazers would be an underrated team for tonight’s contest. We are able to get them with 7 points, while my projected line is the Nuggets by just 3/4 points.

The Rockets are in their best moment of the season with 7-3 L10 games, but yesterday’s contest was really a tough matchup for them. I’ve been saying that the Rockets are now playing in a faster pace… we can now call them a run and gun team! Even against the best defensive team in the league right now (Miami Heat), they were able to turn that contest into a wild run and gun, in which they lost the game 119-125.

However, I was pretty sure that the Blazers wouldn’t allow the Rockets to play at their preferred pace. The Blazers would rather prefer to play in the half court (as usual) and in that potential scenario, the Blazers would have the edge. The Rockets are more a perimeter oriented team and the Blazers have probably the second most physical backcourt in the league (behind the Heat) with Andre Miller, Matthews and Nicolas Batum. The final outcome says it all as the Rockets scored only 85 points by hitting only 4 of their 20 attempts behind the 3pts line.

The good news for us (and for the team) is that due to the blowout loss, no one Rockets starter logged more than 24 minutes of action! Yes, this is a back to back game for them, but fatigue won’t be problematic if they were coming from a tight game last night against Portland.

Having said that, the Nuggets are a much better matchup for the Rockets than the Blazers just because the Nuggets plays like the Rockets: faster pace / run and gun.

Denver is 3-0 L3 games, but they are yet to convince me…

They defeated the Blazers who were coming from a tight game in Utah in the previous night and were playing their third game in 4 nights (and were playing without Marcus Camby), basically they were dead tired; they defeated the Wolves on the road without Carmelo Anthony, Kenyon Martin and Nene, but it was a clear case of a bad team that was on a nice run and just overlook the banged up Nuggets, the young Wolves thought it would be easy to defeat the Nuggets and finally in the last game they spanked the Kings 104-86. Even though it was a blowout win, note that the Nuggets committed 21 turnovers and allowed 54 points in the paint to the awful Kings.

In a potential run and gun scenario, the Rockets have the tools and the confidence to be a tough matchup for the Nuggets. In the first h2h game of the season the Nuggets went to Houston and won 107-94, but in that time the Rockets were in the middle of a terrible start of the season. Right now they are playing their best basketball of the season!

Take the Rockets in here as my Single Dime Play.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 711 Houston Rockets (+7) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker


Topics: Free Pick NBA

My name is André Gomes, I’m from Portugal and I am a Professional Handicapper. My sole purpose is to constantly beat the sportsbooks by taking advantage of the evaluation errors they make. It is most... Read more

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