Hi Pregame community!

I've decided that the whole NBA card to be free today.

We have four plays today and one of them is a double dime play.

The lines for the plays were the ones send to the clients with long term packages.

Here are the plays:

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PORTLAND     PHILADELPHIA

 Last night I went with Minnesota against Miami saying that even the lowly teams had their streaks and we had to ride with them in such moments. Well, I lost that bet but it was really an unlucky loss as Minnesota led down the stretch and could have easily won that game. Like yesterday, I'm riding with a red hot team on this game as I think that they can made an upset in here.

The Sixers won their last 4 games and we cannot say that they were against lowly teams, as they defeated in that span Atlanta, Milwaukee and the Rockets who aren't exactly bad teams. The Sixers are in fact playing the wild crazy style basketball that such good results had in the last season (second half of the season). The absence of Elton Brand is not a mere coincidence in my opinion as they "returned to basics" after his absence.

Playing in that style, the Sixers have 3 powerful characteristics: rebounds, fast break points and points in the paint. They are the worst 3 pts shooting team of the league just because they focused almost exclusively in penetrations to the hoops. In fact, they reached the amazing mark of 50 points in the paint in 4 of their last 5 games and this could make some damage to the Blazers defense and I will tell why:

The Blazers are a tough team down the paint but Greg Oden is not a veteran center and facing against such powerful team like the Sixers are I wouldn't be surprised if he face foul trouble during the hole game. The only other team in this league who plays in a similar style of the Sixers are the Jazz and coincidently or not they are already 2-0 against Portland this season.

The Blazers in the last 3 games didn't play against powerful frontcourt teams, they faced the Pistons who were without Rasheed Wallace, they faced then the Warriors who are exclusively a jump shooting team and in the last game they faced the Bulls who are a similar team and relies their game on the backcourt players.

The Blazers are1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games and today they will face a confident home dog team who is playing their best basketball of the season. The Sixers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5 and I think that they can win this game outright.

Regular Play on Philadelphia 76ers (+2)

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  MIAMI             MILWAUKEE

In this game the Bucks are favored by 6 points and this is clearly a "weird" line taking in account that the Heat are 20-17 and the Bucks are a 19-21 record team and they are 5-5 L10 games. In "normal conditions" the Bucks would have had a shorter line on this game and the public is biting the Heat in a scary proposition of 70/30.

Well, this is an awful spot for the Heat. They are in the middle of a 7 game road trip and this will be the fourth game of that span. Look at this: tonight's game will be the third game in four nights; they faced the Lakers and the Wolves yesterday. Do you realize that after tonight's game the Heat has faced 3 consecutive different divisional teams in 4 days? Join now to the discussion the fact that the games against Lakers and Minnesota were ballgames, only decided down the stretch so naturally the players are affected by some fatigue.

But that's not all. Miami in this season are 1-5-1 ATS playing back to back games and 0-7 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. Do you now understand the reason for the 6 points favoring the Bucks tonight?

The Bucks bounced back nicely after a disgusting home loss against the Sixers by winning in Washington. Andrew Bogut returned to the team and he made an immediate impact with 9-12 FG for 18 points and 10 rebounds. The Bucks are one of the most productive ATS teams in this season, they are 9-4 ATS as home favorites and this is really a good spot for them and I'm taking them in here.

Regular Play on Milwaukee Bucks (-6)

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LA LAKERS     SAN ANTONIO

This is my strongest play of the day and I grade this bet as a double dime as I believe the totals line is completely overrated for this game.

The Lakers had a heck of a tough game last night in Houston and facing today the Spurs isn't exactly a good spot for them. They made a huge effort yesterday as the Rockets gave them a dogfight game and we must not forget that right now the Lakers aren't a deep team in the rotations as Sasha Vujacic, Luke Walton and Jordan Farmar are out and Lamar Odom was available but not at 100%. In fact, the All Stars Kobe Bryant and Pau Gasol had to make a huge effort to provide a win for LA, they played 42 and 41 minutes when their season averages are 36 and 35.7 minutes per game.

If you add to this the fact the previous game of them against Miami was as well a ballgame we have in here a tired team playing their third game in four nights that are without most of their role players coming from the bench. The Lakers are 4-2 Under in road back to back games in this season.

Meanwhile, the Spurs suffered a tough defeat at home against Orlando in a game that they actually they played well but the Orlando Magic are playing right now in an insane mode. The Spurs tried to slow down the pace in that game but the Magic buried them behind the arc hitting a sizzling 14-22 mark (do you noticed that they made 23 treys last night in Sacramento establishing a new NBA record?). For today I expect that the Spurs will make everything to slow down the pace as well and I believe that for the Lakers this isn't a problem as being a tired team they don't want to speed up the pace as well.

Saying that we have for this game an unrealistic 201 points, the word "unrealistic" is well used because Under is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings in San Antonio and 5-0 in the last 5 meetings and playing in such conditions the Under is a strong play in here.

Both teams already in this season when facing top teams showed a strong defense. In fact, both teams are 5-0 Under against a team with a winning record and I think we have great value playing the under in here. Take it in a double dime play.

Double Dime Play on Under 200.5

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SACRAMENTO     GOLDEN STATE

This is an ugly play, I know that but still I think we have a great value with the Kings tonight because I expect a better effort tonight after the embarrassment of yesterday's game.

The Kings were spanked by 107-139 against Orlando at home, but honestly, when we see a team hitting 23 of their 37 3pts attempts there's nothing to do about it no matter what the team you are. The main question is to find out how the Kings will react tonight and judging by some comments of the Kings players we will see an A effort tonight:

"We won't come out there like that again," Garcia said. "I'm going to play hard, and it's going to start with me. And if other guys aren't playing hard, coach (Kenny) Natt is going to see that ? including myself. It's time to start making people accountable, because that was just an embarrassment tonight."

"We're a joke right now," said Martin, whose 30 points doubled that of the team's second-highest scorer (Garc?a, 15). "That's how people look at us. They keep on launching threes and still have one of their best players out on the court. You should be pretty angry about that."

The Kings will face tonight a "good" team to perform their bounce back. The Warriors are an inconsistent team and an awful team being favorite, in fact, already in this season they are 0-3 ATS being home favorite of 4 or more points and they have a weird record of 2-8 ATS after winning one game and 6-27 ATS off a home win over the last 2 seasons.

This will be a run and gun game, no question at all about it. The totals line of 227 points show that and in such scenario we have two team in completely different spots as the Kings played yesterday and the Warriors had 2 days of to rest. Likely the hottest team will win tonight and I've always like in these game to ride teams who are with some rhythm. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Take the Kings in here tonight.

1/3 unit Play on Sacramento Kings ML @ 190
2/3 units Play on Sacramento Kings (+5,5)

 Good luck!