The Sixers were a 0.500 team in the last 2 seasons, but they always
missed to take the next step. Last season, they ended up with a 41-41
record in pretty bad circumstances, as Maurice Cheeks was fired after a
9-14 start of the season and their biggest off season addition, Elton
Brand, got injured several times and played just 29 games. Still, the
Sixers ended 6th in the Eastern Conference just to be eliminated by the
Orlando Magic.
Before going into this season's analysis, I think that we should
analyze why Elton Brand with his huge contract didn't have the impact
that everybody in the organization thought he would have. Yes, I
understand that he only played 29 games, but still when he was healthy,
he looked like completely lost in the court and the Sixers ended 13-16
with him playing. In my opinion the biggest issue was the Sixers' style
of playing that didn't fit and so, they couldn't maximize Elton Brand's
strengths. With Cheeks and then with Tony DiLeo, the Sixers ran an
unorthodox offensive scheme, where they pushed up the pace and scored
by attacking the rim. That's why the Sixers were at the top in fast
break points, points in the paint and in offensive rebounding, but at
the same time they were awful behind the arc. When you have a guy like
Elton Brand, it's important to establish him down the post and feed him
down low, however the Sixers simply couldn't wait for that to happen.
The leader of such bizarre offense was Andre Miller, who was the
perfect point guard for such scheme, as he is an awful perimeter
shooter who rather prefers to attack the rim. Losing him in the off
season was a tough loss, but at least the Sixers can now concentrate in
re-defining their own style behind their new Head Coach Eddie Jordan
and his Princeton offense.
The biggest challenge for the Sixers will be to find and to build
their new identity as soon as they can while avoiding going into a hole
earlier in the season. Without Andre Miller, the Sixers will have a guy
who isn't a pure Point Guard (and won't be in the future) in Lou
Williams to be their starter PG. Williams was their sixth man in the
past and he showed good scoring instincts, as he scored 12.8 points per
game. However we are talking about him being a PG and last season he
had almost as many Turnovers as assists: 3.0 apg vs. 1.9 TO/game. While
in Washington, Eddie Jordan never had a true PG playmaker, as Gilbert
Arenas is more a PG scorer, so Jordan knows how to handle this
particular position.
Also for the Point Guard position, the Sixers drafted Jrue Holiday
(17th draft pick) and although he is a talented PG, he will need some
time to mature and establish himself in this league. However his
defense and selfless attitude are great principles to begin with and
Holiday can be a great piece for the Sixers in the near future.
Like never, this is the Andre Iguodala's team and he will need to
carry this team in both ends of the floor. Iguodala doesn't have the
soft touch that other superstars have in this league, but he is a
proven durable player that missed just 7 games in the last 5 seasons
and he's efficient in both ends of the floor. Last season, he averaged
18.8 points per game, while shooting 47.3 % from the field and dished
5.3 assists per contest. Eddie Jordan will challenge him to improve
his playmaker abilities without a true PG in the team so I wouldn't be
surprised if Iguodala's assists numbers climb to the 7's numbers. He is
also an underrated perimeter defender that averaged 1.6 steals per game
last year and definitely he needs to set the tone for the team in both
ends. If he can do that, he will earn an all star nod this season.
GM Ed Stefanski made a terrific choice when he drafted Thaddeus
Young because Young is a rising star in this league. His athleticism
and length makes him a nightmare matchup for the opponents because he
too strong to be defended by small forwards and too quick for power
forwards. He looks like Shawn Marion in his glory days, but with a
better jump shot and the scary part is that Young is just 21 years old
and this will be just his third season as a pro. Last year he averaged
15.3 points per game, while shooting almost 50% from the field (49.5%).
While his offensive production will certainly rise due to the Miller's
departure, Young will need to be more involved and focused in other
areas as rebounding and dishing. He averaged just 5.1 rebounds per
game and 1.1 apg and he has the potential to bring better numbers to
the court, this will be the next step for him. In May last season, he
averaged 20.5 ppg while shooting 54.7 % from the field and will be a
matter of time for him to reach new levels in his career.
I have already talked about Elton Brand in this preview and there
are two significant questions for him for this season. The first one is
related to his health. Coming off a shoulder surgery for a PF that
draws significant contact during the games won't be easy for him, but
the first sign is that he is healthy early on the season and that's
good news. The second question is to know if Eddie Jordan will give him
the proper plays for him to be effective. If is that the case, then
Elton Brand will deliver 20 points and 10 rebounds every night because
this is what he did on his career when healthy.
Besides Elton Brand's (possible bad) contract, the Sixers have in
Samuel Dalembert's 2 years contract ($12M each year) another issue to
handle. Dalembert is coming from a frustrating season (possibly his
worst season as a pro), in which he saw his numbers decrease in every
department: Points, rebounds, blocks and FG %. However, we cannot
dissociate the fact that he played only 24.8 minutes per contest (he
played all the 82 games) and this explains partially such drop. Both
Cheeks and DiLeo apparently didn't trust him, so let's see if Eddie
Jordan feels the same way. Also Dalembert strained his right shoulder
near the end of last season and it looks like he is still dealing with
some discomfort in the training camp. Bottom line, the Sixers needs
Dalembert to be at his best for several reasons. If they are counting
on him they need a serviceable center, if not, they will need to move
his $24M 2-years contract to another franchise and this granted won't
happen if he struggles this season.
Last season, the Sixers had a reasonable bench that ended 10th in
scoring with 30.9 points per game. However, this unit shot only 42.8 %
from the field (6th worst) and Ed Stefanski brought some pieces for
this season. The Sixers signed Jason Kapono to improve their awful
ability to knock down 3 pointers (they were dead last season with an
awful 31.8 % clip mark), but Kapono simply can't do anything else
besides the 3pts shots, so I doubt that he will make any significant
impact for the Sixers.
Marreese Speights had a rookie season full of promises, in which
for just 16 minutes per game, he averaged 7.7 points while shooting
over 50% of his field goals and grabbing nearly four rebounds per game.
He was the biggest reason why Dalembert struggled to earn minutes and
for this season, Speights will pressure Dalembert to earn his minutes
once again this season.
Royal Ivey, Rodney Carney, Jason Smith, Stromile Swift and Primoz
Brezec will take action in the back end of the bench and won't play any
significant role for this season. Meanwhile, Willie Green was the
Sixers SG starter last season for 59 games and although his numbers
weren't pretty at all, he is one of the leaders in the locker room for
the Sixers and one important voice in the roster.
The Sixers are one of the teams that the experts predict to fall
this season, but they have some great talent in their roster. Only
Elton Brand has double digits career years in this league (10th season
for him) and the Sixers have 10 players with 25 years old or less! With
such young but talented roster in Eddie Jordan's hands, the key will be
how fast Jordan will be able to implement his ideology to the team and
create a reasonable team chemistry. The Eastern Conference is stronger
than never and the Sixers will have little room to struggle early on.