Here are my picks for EPL Match Day 22.
I use a Poisson Process to model expected goals using data from fivethirtyeight.com to get probabilities.
- Manchester United ML -286 - W
- Southampton +1 -125 - W
- Newcastle +1 +105 - W
- Wolverhampton/Newcastle Under 2.5 -125 -W
- Chelsea ML -400 - W
- AFC Bournemouth/Watford Over 2.5 -120 - W
- Manchester City ML -538 - W
- Aston Villa 2.25 -120 - L
- Manchester City/Aston Villa Under 4 -135 - L
My Match Day 21 picks went 5-4
Since I've started posting, my posted picks have gone 59.5 - 38.5 - 11
For the year the system has made 146 picks and has gone 94 - 50.5 - 13.5
Good Luck All!