Here are my picks for EPL Match Day 9.
I use a Poisson Process to model expected goals using data from fivethirtyeight.com to get probabilities.
- Burnley +1 -120 (@ Leicester City) - Push
- Chelsea ML -333 (vs Newcastle) - W
- AFC Bournmouth -.75 -120 (vs Norwich City) - L
- AFC Bournmouth ML -143 (vs Norwich City) - L
- Watford +1.25 -110 (@ Tottenham Hotspur) - W
- Crystal Palace/Manchester City Under 3.25 -110 - W
- Sheffield United +0.5 -110 (vs Arsenal) - W
My Match Day 8 picks went 4.5 - 4 - 0.5.
Since I've started posting, my posted picks have gone 5.5 - 6 - .5
For the year the system has made 61 picks and has gone 40 - 18 - 3
Good luck all