Little info on Kelvins TD game he has been in 14 UFC fights of those 14 he has landed 9 takedowns. He has not landed a TD since 2015. Even if he were to hit a TD on Izzy he’s not very good at maintaining control & Izzy has solid get up game.. Kelvin fought Neil Magny who has an identical frame to Izzy and Kelvin really struggled with the length and finding range in that fight an to say Izzy is a better striker than Magny is an understatement. Not only better striker but smarter more economical and also the better athlete with more speed clearly. Kelvin has to hit a home run KO punch on a guy who only lost 1 striking match and has never lost in MMA he should be +250 to be honest.
Max got subbed by Dustin when they fought a long time ago he was out classed pretty badly on the floor I think he closed the gap but still grappling is something really hard to make gains on when your opponent is so far ahead of you. Max for sure can win this fight but he is a volume puncher an takes one to give 2 or 3 only Dustin also returns 2 or 3 but with power. If Max stays away and fights a smart fight it’s his fight for the taking but I don’t see him doing that it’s just not in his DNA. The line for Brian Ortega against Max is what it should be for Poirier right now..
Good luck!