Perez ruined last night in a big way...on to adelaide..lotta chalk that can be trusted, some I would just skip..
Ismugulov....the dude is slick, but gonna be overwhelmed...free square
Giagos...not gonna beat too many people in ufc, but absolutely beats this guy....-300 would be value if its out there...
kara-france...keep the parlay rolling....bit wider than I think makes sense, but still not at much risk of losing...
kunchenko...this favorite I wanna skip....Okami just does nothing but lay on people for 15 minutes and I know kunchenko's quickness could easily jack up okami but I could EASILY see him not getting the space to get it done...passsadena
touahri...I am all about the dog here...nakamura is always a sub threat, but I think he is on the fade...price very favorable...
nguyen..slight lean nguyen...will never forgive him tho for his stupid smolka fight....worth 1u tho if you can only lay -130
crute...I believe he will fight smart and not allow craig his miracle sub for the win...but -270 is alot imo
yusuff....this is nitpicking but this line is too wide because the brother of the dog here is the worst 125er to every fight in ufc and that is forcing line too wide....all that said, yusuff is really good....he would definitely be in the parlay at -400...-600 your call...
matthews...this is best fight on card and its a bit of gambling....people really like martin's improvements but given the home field for matthews and the improvement I expect from matthews as his hip surgery gets further behind him, I think he is the right side even if he does not have good footwork and will get pieced up at times...
Pedro....I am never trusting Pedro at these prices...just not that good....with that said shogun is a porcelain vase at this point....too lazy to dig out under price yet....but I would lay -1000 it does not go to decision and feel good...
Hunt...his retirement fight...Willis has a very reliable but limited game...just feels like a 29-28 hunt to me...I don't think willis will sleep him and I doubt he will hurt or take him down more than once....if hunt was favored, I would say pass all the way but he's a dog....hunt by decision an interesting action bet...
JDS...everybody likes JDS great footowork to piece up Tuivasa until he gasses and not get killed by tuivasa...I agree on paper...I just hope jds does not age overnight and had good travel to aus...he looked fine at the weigh in..,