These are gonna be out of order not going searching for new fight order...
Neal...this profiles like a HW fight...both guys are have a 1st round KO upside and both will gas in the 2nd...unlike big guys tho I think Camacho would fight through fatigue and be effective...some vaule on Camacho...I do like the under but I now think its overbet so pass on total unless you wanna bet under 1.5..
SPECIAL NOTE...Texas judges are incompetent IMO until proven otherwise...fights that project to go to decision are real but cheek squeezers till you hear the decision...over under bad scorecards tomorrow is 3..would be more but I think there will be a ton of finishes...
Aldana...she is better than her record and now she gets a drop in class..gonna be a really close fight, Aldana would be the lean IF she could keep fight where she wants it and that is at striking distance...Pudlova will want it on fence or in pocket..and if she gets it there Aldana is not good defensively and loses composure being hit...at a pick I am not overly interested in putting in judges hands...I do prefer Pudlova but if its a bad decision it will probably go for the mexican...
Brooks...can we take -335 on a guy taking a fight on short notice? Because he is a small 125, making weight should be fine so I say ABSOLUTELY because for Sanchez this is a nightmare...he went from a pick to massive dog when Benoit got hurt and he got thrown in with a top talent who is just a bit undersized and a bit unlucky...ALMOST a free square for parlays or a speculative win by finish play which aren't common at 125...Brooks does have a bad enough IQ that he will probably spend some time in this fight evading a submission attempt but I am not overly worried...I just wouldn't parlay him with everything else you play
Alex White....unathletic and shaky on the ground but Miller has a shot chin AND gastank...Miller has 1st round submission shot...after that he has no path to victory...so I think White is worth the wood and there is a TON of value in the under if 2.5 is around even....
Craig White....WHITE is trash... worst fighter in UFC history to be -200 or more....Sanchez however is beyond shot and can get slept in a pillow fight...Sanchez by finish is great value tho I think he can get 1-2 exchanges where his technical advantages can get either to white's chin or drag white to ground....AND -210 under 2.5 total rounds may be the value of the night..this fight may be slow at times but it may only take 2-3 exchanges and fight will be over...
Rivera..lean Rivera by decision but don't like the idea of betting guys after getting slept...pass but it is true Dodson is overbet...he is slowing down and the betting lines aren't reflecting it..
Byrd...if he fights dumb and gets in slow boxing fight he could lose...but if he takes him down OR pressure boxes him, it will be an easy win...-210 is value..1u win 1u win by finish
Sterling...I will admit I am confused here...largely by the odds....Sterling should not be a lukewarm fave...his length athleticism and his incremental improvement in his striking leave stamman a pretty narrow window to win...yes he may stone Sterling's takedowns but even if he does 100%..he still can;t win unless he dives into the pocket and does damage over and over...THAT is not +120 risk....Sterling always worries me but he is a play on price alone under -150...
Suarez...line on this fight is a joke....Suarez is a monstrous 115er..(I question how she does it but does not matter here)...she could EASILY wrestle down the tiny Esparza 3 times and win a unanimous decision, BUT we do not know alot about how Suarez will handle an experienced fighter, handle a 15 minute fight OR how she will handle a striking battle if Esparza can keep it standing...Esparza has the skill to do that..whether she has the strength is another matter...DOG is a value play...
Price...Al Hassan will take 8 minutes and try to kill the overachieving and janky Price...I dunno if it will work and don't recommend gambling on him getting it done or what happens when he gasses if he does not find kill shot...two ways you can be in this fight...under the total which is a free square if you go 2.5 or ITD...ALSO if Price survives the 1st round he is definitely the favorite...so you can live bet Price at a bargain between 1 and 2 if he is not busted up...
Magomed...he shoudn;t be -1100 but you can;t bet against him..pass...
Till...this fight could be awful...I really dislike Till cause his approach is very limited even if very well executed...Till is the Michael Jordan of weight cutting and shockingly he made weight for this...he is SO much bigger than Woodley that I think he sleeps Woodley cause at some point Woodley will dive at him...understand this tho...Woodley wants to win this fight with 1 counter punch and he will wait 25 minutes for it...Till will need to be very careful..but I think it will work...if you like Woodley, get a sammich instead of betting..its not an opinion you should back with money even if you end up being correct