Last post on Open for me..once they get to big events, hard to fiind reason based plays...
Women
Kanepi is limited enough that once Serena gets a handle of her pace, it should go quickly..2-0..one of my faves
mertens..just beat Stephens in Cinn a few days ago...price is not too good at least to take her to win a set if not the match...Stephens has been very inconsistent within matches...she will hit a patch where she gives away a set I believe
Pliskova...I understand Barty very well..great game to dominate lesser players with power athleticism combo but at somepoint technical players get the upper hand...dog odds with Pisliskova is worth a swing..unlike Mertens, this only a win play or maybe a tiny 2-0 plays.laying wood to win 1 set
Osaka..these are my 2 girls...I thought Osaka would have trouble today and she won 60 60 Now she gets another 20 YO bomber...I would pass but I think Osaka at dog odds HAS to be taken...half win and half 2-0
Men
bit fuzzier here..not alot of wood I wanna lay on this side either but for federer..thiem is 1-8 vs Anderson but he is 1 in a row...on clay this past spring...both guys are only 90% IMHO...I think thiem has a shot..price is not as big as I would like but he is playable...maybe at a big price to win in 4 or 3 sets
Isner...eye test raonic should be beating Isner but Isner is 4-1 life and isner knocked raonic out of wimbedon...isner is serving great...price is generous on isner IMHO
Kolschreiber..Nishikori has had his number but this isn;t nishikori at his best and kohl is +300 ...goes at least 4 sets...maybe kohl steals it...great value
Coric...little history to go on...Coric';s best is good enough but he is a kid and still inconsistent at times...Delpo has been great all tournament but +268 is monstrous on Coric...maybe another to play to win at 4 if he can get some early confidence...+475 to win in 3 or 4...