Hey fellas, I hope everyone is doing well. I have been slammed at work this week and am leaving for Tahoe tomorrow, so I'll have a small write-up for each play.
3*Stenson(-105) vs Rahm
Love this bet. Stenson is in great form with 3 Top 10's in his past 3 tourneys (Not including the Zurich which he and Rose placed 19th.) He has historically done well at Sawgrass with 5 Top 20's including a win in 2009. Rahm has played here once missing the cut. His form has been good, but I'll take the guy with a great course history and great form all day. These reasons alone are why I'm picking him in this match-up and I think he presents solid value to win at 28/1.
2*Grillo(-125) vs Kisner
Grillo also is coming in with good form with 4 Top 10's on the year. He also had a Top 10 here last year and has had success on the other Florida courses. Kisner has been playing inconsistent as of late and is far removed from that 2nd place duel with Fowler a few years ago, following up with a MC and 56th at Sawgrass the past two years. I'd make it a 1 unit play at the current price of -150.
1*DeChambeau(+100) vs Cantlay
Bryson has been playing lights out as of late. He has 4 Top 5's this season. He's never played at Sawgrass, but I think that he does well here. I HATE the fact that the oddsmakers put him against Cantlay. Anyone else, it would have been a 2 or 3 unit play. Cantlay has been solid as of late with a 7th at the RBC Heritage, which I think has similar Pete Dye characteristics to Sawgrass. I have to jump on the Bryson train, but I think Cantlay plays well here also.
1*Watney(+100) vs Streelman
Watney has missed 3 cuts in a row here at Sawgrass, but I'm banking on him to carry the momentum from last week with his 2nd place finish at the Wells Fargo. He does have 2 Top 20's at Sawgrass fwiw.
1*Hossler(-110) vs Howell III
Beau has come along way and had that 2nd at the Houston Open and a 17th at the RBC Heritage. It's Hossler's first appearance here, but I think he may surprise. Howell has been in decent form as of late, but struggles here at Sawgrass. I'll take a shot against him.
0.2*Stenson to Win +2800
I hope everyone has a great week and have fun watching The Players. Let's get that cash fellas. BOL.
YTD
30-19-1
+8.50