Good evening fellas. We won last week with our first play of the year, with Spieth taking care of business against Thomas. This week is a full field and I have a few plays I'd like to share.
So here it goes...
For the first play, this is more of a fade of Bill Haas. In his last 4 starts he has a MC, 62, 17, 53. He is a great player, but his recent form to end last year was a little shaky and I don't think he should be a -120 favorite right now. On the contrary, I like Chez Reavie this week. He is about as consistent as they come. He has made 16 straight cuts and had a T8 here last year. The fact the I am getting Reavie at plus money against a player who is not in his best form, sounds like a bargain.
2* Reavie(+105) vs Haas
My next few plays I am looking at the good ol horse-for-the-course. Zach Johnson absolutely feasts at Waialae. He has 3 Top 10's here and is also playing well of late with 3 Top 20 finishes. My sportsbook is Heritage, so they actually have 2 different match-ups with ZJ this week. One against Russell Henley, and the other against Cameron Smith. Russ has historically played well at Waialae, including a win in 2013. Cameron Smith is a sexy pick this week. He had a stellar start to the wrap-around season including a win at the Australian PGA. I just feel with ZJ's experience here, I think he gets the job done against both of these guys. The only drawback obvious lee is that ZJ falls flat on his face and misses a cut. I don't think that's the case so I will lay a unit with each of these match-ups.
1* Johnson(-115) vs Henley
1* Johnson(-115) vs Smith
As always, only bet what you can afford to lose. These are not your fathers stone cold locks of the century, so wager wisely. BOL this week fellas!