The UFC heads to Oklahoma City Sunday for a showdown between two lightweight prospects. Hopefully we will be coming off a winning day Saturday with our Bellator picks and can have a little extra cash to play with. Should be a pretty entertaining card even for those who don't bet, so let's get to it.
Top Play
Michael Chiesa over Kevin Lee +115 (2 units to win 2.3) (L)
This is just too good of a price to pass up for what should be a close contest. Michael Chiesa has a suffocating fight style. He will walk through anything that is thrown at him and drag his opponent to the ground where he will smother them and try to punch them out or choke them out. That should do the trick against Lee, who is the quicker man and better striker. But Lee throws with limited power and Chiesa has a rock hard chin. Chiesa's style will eventually catch up to him as he absorbs damage fight after fight for the sake of a take down, but this is not that day. Lee is very good on the ground in his own right, but Chiesa will use his superior strength to eventually finish off Lee. Chiesa will likely look like he went through a war though by the end of it.
Other Plays
Tony Martin over Johnny Case at -130 (1.3 units to win 1) (W)
Honestly, this lightweight contest reminds me a lot of the main event. Martin is a massive man for his weight class and can absolutely smother people when he drags them to the ground. Case is the smoother striker and can definitely do damage on the feet, but Martin should be able to walk through it and get it to the ground. As long as Martin doesn't gas, which he has done in the past, he should get the win.
Marvin Vettori/Carla Esparza Parlay (1.5 units to win 1.2) (W)
The two favorites I'm most confident in. As a rule, I try not to lay too much on any fight cause anything can happen in MMA. I feel pretty safe pairing these two up and getting a safe unit return.