RJ_Bell said:
wiz12268,
No one is saying that pick'em and +6 is available at the same time . . . but OVER THE COURSE OF TIME, the changes in the spread will often offer value on both sides. Especially with all the early lines now available in Vegas and online.
If a Pro bettor says on May 1: Cantor has released their NFL season lines, I bet Carolina +3.
And then, the day of the game months later, says: Market is at New England +3, and I just bet it.
If anyone thinks there is something wrong with sharing TWO bets (both with expected profit) with their followers, then you need to slow down and think these concepts through.
You cant bet it BLINDLY either. What was the New Orleans/Atl line? I would say Atl would have been -6 or so, now theyre +7.5 at least once teaser protect come off. So if you have +6 with New Orleans do you take +7.5 now with Atl because it offers so much 'value'.
That is like half time lines where you have a dog +7 full game who is ahead SU by 13 at half time and the favorite is now only -4 HT line or whatever the chart says.
The difference is so great it has now become two separate bets one will water down the other.
There is a time to find value and a time to sit on a strong side. Thats where numbers hunters lose what little edge they might actually have. They give away so many positive bets looking to cash both ways or 'protect' themselves they end up burying themselves in vig.
Guys actually looking to make money and not just try and look smart know the difference. Sometimes it IS close, but those are the times the guys dont take the advantage because it isnt enough for them, which is the greatest irony.
Good debate mostly theoretical because the lines just dont exist now to make it a truly valid argument, thats where the internet has hurt people the most. it homogenized the lines and allowed books to have instant access to each other and know within a split second where everyone was at. People think it allows them, the bettor, to have more options, but it is the exact opposite, the options now are so similar they are really a coin flip on what you should do.