The Chiefs 'hype seems based on the belief that they will draw on their experience in recent playoff wins to beat Buffalo. Most of the stats suggest that this K.C. team is inferior to the past two. Eleven of 15 wins this season were secured by one score, and imo, many appeared a product of luck. It outgained opponents by a lowly eight yards per game. The Bills were much better at running the ball, which is paramount in cold weather. They stand 12-7 ATS, with the highlight a nine-point win over the Chiefs. As good as QB Patrick Mahomes "can" be, Josh Allen is a worthy peer. The Bills have the better team and are receiving points. 3 points or more settles this game. 27-21 Bills