teams playing in their first playoff game in at least two seasons against a repeat playoff team from the prior season are just 13-28 SU and 16-25 ATS (39%) over the last 12 seasons and 28-46-1 ATS (37.8%) since 2004.   

Fade Chargers, take Texans +3  buy hook

From a line perspective, home favorites of more than a TD (-7.5 or higher) in the wild card round are 17-1 SU and 14-4 ATS (77.8%) since 2005. If you consider lines of 9.5 points or more, wild card-favored hosts this large have now won 15 straight games outright while going 14-1 ATS   

Take Baltimore -9-

Teams playing in their first playoff game in at least two seasons(Denver) against a repeat playoff team from the prior season are just 13-28 SU and 16-25 ATS (39%) over the last 12 seasons and 28-46-1 ATS (37.8%) since 2004. Remember that home favorites of more than a TD (-7.5 or higher) in the wild card round are 17-1 SU and 14-4 ATS

Take Buffalo -8

Packers reached the 20-point mark in all but two games this season? As such, it should be noted that road teams reaching that 20-point total in this round are on a 37-22 SU and 44-13-2 ATS (77.2%) run. Check Love status, Hurts has been out several weeks so may be rusty 

Take GB +5

This  a revenge spot for the Commanders, having lost 37-20 way back in Week 1 at Tampa.  Teams playing on the road in revenge mode and averaging 28.0 PPG or more offensively have gone 19-8-1 SU and 19-9 ATS (67.9%) in their last 28 revenge tries. 

This #3-#6 matchup has had a history of upsets, with the road teams on a 14-8 SU and 17-5 ATS (77.3%) surge in the series. Furthermore, #3 seeds that were an underdog or less than a 3.5-point favorite are just 2-14 SU and ATS (12.5%) since 2004, scoring just 17.2 PPG

Take Washington +3

Home teams allowing more than 7.0 yards per pass attempt (Rams) have been quite unreliable for bettors in the postseason, going 6-15-1 (28.6%) ATS since 2012.

Minnesota does another thing that usually bodes well for playoff success: force turnovers. Road teams that force a lot of turnovers (>=1.8 takeaways per game) have been consistently strong betting options in the playoffs for many years, going 50-30-2 ATS (62.5%) since 2002.

not a true home with location change though

Vikings -2-