I wanted to share my thoughts for those that are considering taking KC to cover 13 points. Don't do it.... I will give you my reasonings. The Chiefs are well known for not covering double digit spreads. Mahomes is 32-2 SU but 12-21-1 ATS (36.4%) in his last 34 games as a favorite of more than 7 points. He is also just 15-10 SU but just 5-19-1 ATS, following up a game in which his team scored 30+ points since 2020.

That doesn't mean they can't cover but not in my books. You may have seen in my "Bet It Now" thread a live 4 game parlay that had both the Lions and Chiefs on the ML. KC wins today I cash. The reason I played the Lions on the ML is partly similar to the above in terms of covering double digit spreads, but more importantly, they just can't seem to win on Thanksgiving day.

The last time was in 2016 when they beat Minnesota 16-13. Yesterday's game looked like a cake walk, christ, Chicago couldn't even muster up a first down in the 1st Q, if not the half, and had it not been for the unbelievable stupidity by not calling a timeout with 32 or 34 seconds left on the clock, god only knows what the outcome of that game could of been...

Another interesting game that caught my attention is the Steelers/Bengals game. Unless I'm missing something they have the wrong team favored. Cincy -3 ?? tell me why. Yes, their coming off a bye week, Pittsburgh is coming off a mini bye.

Tomlin has played 29 road games in the AFC North since Dec. 1, 2014; he has lost 2 in a row just once. I'll back the Steelers to beat a team he owns coming off a "fluke" loss in the snow at CLE. Tomlin is 14-4 vs Cincy and 8-3 SU in his last 11 games as a road dog. Pittsburgh thrives as the underdog, their 4-0 ATS and won all four outright.

The Bengals are 1-4 ATS at home. Tomlin is 8-3 ATS his last 11 as road dog and 40-25 ATS in his career. He is 7-3 ATS in his last 10 games at Cincy. He is 10-6 ATS in his last 16 games as a road dog within the AFC North. Bengals only wins vs CAR, NYG, CLE, LV. Burrow has difficulty handling the Steelers D whom is far better than Cincy's and Pittsburgh doesn't turn the ball over.

I have another parlay a 5 gamer which I don't often play, but have cashed them, that includes KC again on the ML and Pittsburgh +3 that I will be posting momentarily in my "Bet It Now" thread. 

So maybe someone can enlighten me and tell me why the Steelers are +3 ??

BOL to all this weekend. Cheers!