Thanks for your thoughts. I know how much work this is posting this. I made most of my futures well over a month ago. BOL with your selections.

Charlie Poodle said:

Thanks for your thoughts. I know how much work this is posting this. I made most of my futures well over a month ago. BOL with your selections.

Thanks Charlie, I also made most of mine back in July. I hope you enjoyed the read. Also BOL with your picks this year, I'm sure we will be conversing throughout the season, looking forward to it. Cheers buddy!

Underwhelming offenses posted on VSIN



As noted in yesterday’s email, Unders are 26-6 (81.3%) so far in the NFL preseason.

A lot of these UNDERs are due to the fact that almost all teams are disregarding the preseason altogether and opting to ensure they are 100% healthy when it comes to the regular season. Offenses are far from sharp at this point. Preseason has become a garbage product and waste of time. Last week alone, 16 teams' starting QBs sat, and those that did play mostly only went for a series, some of which were three plays.

Statistically speaking, I was actually somewhat taken aback when I saw the first full-week totals. Usually they close with an average of around 36.5. This year's games closed 37.3 after they got bet up about a point. This past week's got bet up from 35.4 to 36.1, so bettors were still expecting a rebound. Again I go back to my point of these teams not caring.

Interestingly, on the splits, systems and trends for the Week 2 NFL Preseason Analytics report, there were 26 UNDER recommendations, 16 OVER recommendations (62%), so clearly the smart bettors are winning with UNDERs. We'll see how the ratio comes out on this final week. I can't imagine it will be a whole lot different, as this is typically a less scoring week than Week 2.

After watching the Packers' futile effort on Sunday night, I have just one thought: The regular season can't come fast enough!

 I couldn't agree more. For those that follow my post's you have heard me say more than once that I don't bet pre-season and I don't bet the first 3 weeks of the regular season, like the man says above " Offenses are far from sharp"...... "Preseason is becoming a garbage product and a waste of time"

Like to hear your thoughts on this ??

My latest futures bet. As mentioned, Starting Sunday Sept 8th, I will be posting my regular season picks on this thread for those of you that may have interest. Cheers!

Typically I post my picks Saturday evening or Sunday morning. Having said that, I may also post earlier in the week to catch the line(s) that I want. After capping my picks, if I think a line is going to move to my disadvantage, I'll place the bet.
Now that the pre-season crap is finished today, I have capped 3 games ATS for Sept 8th. One for sure is already ahead of the spread I like with the exception of two books. So to get the line that I want, I will likely post it today. Remember it's only week 1.
So it's very common in my circle to see wagers placed well ahead of the kick off to catch early lines if you anticipate a move. That obviously gets adjusted accordingly after week 1. BOL to all this season. Cheers1

I check the lines on covers.com, here are my plays for September 8th. for reasons mentioned above.

Denver Vs. Seattle -4.5
Pittsburgh Vs. Atlanta -2.5
Washington Vs. Tampa bay -3.0

My picks;

Seattle -4.5

Atlanta -2.5

Tampa bay -3.0

I have company arriving for a fish fry and cold beers at my cabin. it's damn hot, 83 degrees and muggy, I'm in Canada and July and August are the hottest, lol. I will follow up with a brief analysis later. Cheers!

The Denver Broncos' quarterback battle has a winner, with Bo Nix beating out Zach Wilson and Jarrett Stidham.

Head coach Sean Payton made the decision official on Wednesday, meaning the rookie will be under center for the season opener against the Seattle Seahawks.

Adam Schefter of ESPN noted that Nix will be the first Broncos rookie quarterback to start in Week 1 since John Elway.

Nix has been the standout performer of the three in preseason. He looked good in a 34-30 win over the Indianapolis Colts, finishing 15-of-21 for 125 yards and a touchdown. Wilson and Stidham, meanwhile, combined to go 14-of-20 for 154 yards and an interception against Indianapolis.

ASHBURN, Va. -- The Washington Commanders finally made official what has been expected since the NFL draft: Jayden Daniels is their starting quarterback.

Commanders coach Dan Quinn announced the move Monday, though Daniels, the second overall pick in April, had been working with the first team exclusively in training camp for the past three weeks. It wasn't exactly a secret that Daniels would start, but by waiting and seeing, the Commanders allowed him to prove he was worthy of the job.

Minshew Mania is back for 2024, with the Las Vegas Raiders naming Gardner Minshew II as their starting quarterback for the upcoming season. Raiders head coach Antonio Pierce announced Sunday that Minshew won the starting job over second-year QB Aidan O'Connell.

With a little more than two weeks before the start of the regular season, Justin Herbert cleared a significant hurdle Monday.

The Chargers quarterback returned to the practice field and participated for the first time since July. Chargers social media happily posted a picture of Herbert in uniform throwing a pass during the Monday afternoon session: