Attached are NFL Power Ratings along with my ratings last week, and ratings to start the year. An average team has a rating of 0. KC is my highest rated team.
To calculate an expected Spread, subtract the difference between the two teams, then add in Home Field Advantage. I am assuming the average HFA this year will be about 2 points, but it will vary by team. For example, assume Green Bay and Sea have 3 point edges. By contrast, I only will be giving the Chargers 1 for HFA.
|
|
Week 14 |
Week 13 |
Beg Of Yr |
|
|
Rating |
Rating |
Rating |
1 |
Kc |
7 |
7.5 |
5.5 |
2 |
Buf |
7 |
6 |
7 |
3 |
Phi |
7 |
6 |
1.5 |
4 |
Dal |
7 |
6.5 |
1.5 |
5 |
Cin |
5 |
4 |
2 |
6 |
SF |
3.5 |
6.5 |
2 |
7 |
Mia |
3 |
4 |
1 |
8 |
Tb |
0.5 |
1 |
4 |
9 |
Cle |
0.5 |
0.5 |
-2.5 |
10 |
Nyj |
0.5 |
0 |
-6 |
11 |
Ten |
0 |
1.5 |
0.5 |
12 |
NE |
0 |
1 |
0 |
13 |
Sea |
0 |
0 |
-5 |
14 |
Lac |
-0.5 |
0.5 |
4 |
15 |
Min |
-0.5 |
0.5 |
1 |
16 |
Jax |
-1 |
0 |
-3 |
17 |
LV |
-1 |
-1.5 |
1 |
18 |
Was |
-1 |
-1 |
-1 |
19 |
Bal |
-1.5 |
4 |
3 |
20 |
Norl |
-1.5 |
-2.5 |
1 |
21 |
Az |
-2 |
-2.5 |
0 |
22 |
Pit |
-2 |
-3 |
-1 |
23 |
Det |
-2 |
-3.5 |
-3 |
24 |
Gb |
-2.5 |
-2 |
5 |
25 |
Den |
-2.5 |
-3 |
1.5 |
26 |
NYG |
-3 |
-3 |
-4 |
27 |
Car |
-3 |
-3.5 |
-2 |
28 |
Atl |
-3.5 |
-3 |
-6 |
29 |
Ind |
-4 |
-3 |
1.5 |
30 |
Chic |
-4 |
-6.5 |
-6 |
31 |
Lar |
-7 |
-8 |
3.5 |
32 |
Hou |
-8 |
-8 |
-6.5 |