Jets at Texans, Over 44.5
Jets and Texans both have bad defenses that yield a ton of points. Both offenses have struggled, but both teams have had inexperienced backup QBs and both teams have faced a schedule of decent/good defenses.
Now Tyrod Taylor has been back for Houston a couple weeks and they're playing at home indoors vs this bad Jets D. I'm not a Flacco fan and he's a few years past "NFL starter." But obviously he's capable enough, especially vs a bad D. And the NYJ QBs are capable if Flacco gets knocked out.
This is a corner TV game that no one will watch... no rivalries or stakes that would ratchet up the defensive intensity, just 2 teams playing out the string. on the surface the 2 bad teams might not profile as an Over game but it could pretty easily get to 24-21 to get us over the modest number of 44.5. I could also see this getting to 27-24 or 28-23. And if the Jets don't show up, 31-14 gets us home too.
Curious what you all think, especially Totals guys like gabone25 and GregShaker and frankofthecastle...