Attached are my updated power ratings, my ratings last week, and my beginning of year ratings. I have also included each team's Season Win number to start the year (Each number is vig adjusted, OVER 11-120 would be 11.1). A positive power rating number indicates how much better that team is than an average team. (A negative number indicates how much worse the team is than average). In order to compute a spread, take the difference between the two teams, and then adjust for Home Field Advantage.
Crowds are back this year, however home team performance has been subpar the last three years. I now estimate the average Home Field to be only around 2 points.
Rank |
Team |
P RATING |
P RATING |
P Rating |
BOY |
|
|
Sept 28 |
Sept 21 |
Sept 7 |
S WIN |
1 |
Tam |
5.5 |
6.5 |
7 |
12.1 |
2 |
Rams |
5.5 |
4.5 |
4 |
10.4 |
3 |
Buf |
5.5 |
5 |
5 |
11.4 |
4 |
KC |
5.5 |
5.5 |
6.5 |
12.4 |
5 |
Clev |
4 |
3 |
3.5 |
10.6 |
6 |
SF |
3 |
3.5 |
4 |
10.4 |
7 |
Balt |
3 |
3 |
4.5 |
11 |
8 |
GB |
3 |
2.5 |
4 |
10.7 |
9 |
Den |
2.5 |
2.5 |
1 |
9 |
10 |
Az |
2.5 |
2 |
0.5 |
8.6 |
11 |
Sea |
2 |
2.5 |
3 |
9.8 |
12 |
Dal |
2 |
1 |
0.5 |
9 |
13 |
LA CH |
2 |
1 |
1 |
9.3 |
14 |
N OR |
1.5 |
1 |
0 |
8.8 |
15 |
N E |
1 |
2 |
2 |
9.5 |
16 |
Ten |
1 |
0 |
1.5 |
9.4 |
17 |
Min |
1 |
0 |
0.5 |
8.9 |
18 |
Car |
0 |
1 |
-1 |
7.5 |
19 |
LV |
0 |
0 |
-2 |
7.2 |
20 |
Mia |
-2 |
-1 |
1 |
9.2 |
21 |
Pit |
-2 |
-0.5 |
0.5 |
8.4 |
22 |
Cin |
-2.5 |
-3.5 |
-4.5 |
6.4 |
23 |
Phil |
-4 |
-2 |
-4 |
6.8 |
24 |
Ind |
-4 |
-4 |
-1 |
9 |
25 |
Wash |
-4.5 |
-4 |
0 |
8.7 |
26 |
NYG |
-4.5 |
-4 |
-4 |
7.2 |
27 |
Atl |
-4.5 |
-4.5 |
-2.5 |
7.5 |
28 |
Chic |
-5.5 |
-3.5 |
-1.5 |
7.3 |
29 |
Det |
-7.5 |
-7.5 |
-7 |
4.8 |
30 |
NYJ |
-8 |
-6 |
-5 |
5.9 |
31 |
Jax |
-9 |
-8 |
-4.5 |
6.1 |
32 |
Hou |
-10 |
-9 |
-8.5 |
3.8
|