Packers -6.5
Rodgers knows this could probably be his last chance to get a ring. A win this week secured his best chance yet to get back to super bowl since he has never played at home in conference championship. Rams are a little beat up and I don’t think Rams can keep this close even if their defense plays a perfect game. The offense is what id worry about because how will they score points. I don’t trust Geoff with a healthy hand. The packers didn’t rest week 17 what I like teams to do when they are the top seeds. Here’s a look at teams that didn’t rest week 17 then played in the divisional round.
2019
49ers (-7) 27-10 W
Chiefs (-3) 51-21 W
Packers (-4.5) 28-23 W
2018
Chiefs (-4.5) 31-13 W
Rams (-7) 30-22 W
Patriots (-4) 41-28 W
2017
Patriots (-13.5) 35-14 W
Vikings (-5.5) 29-24 L
2016
Falcons (-6.5) 36-20 W
Patriots (-16.5) 34-16 W
Chiefs (-2.5) 18-16 L
2015
Patriots (-6) 27-20 W
Panthers (-2.5) W
2014
Sea (-13.5) 31-17 W
Packers (-5.5) 26-21 L
Broncos (-9) 24-13 L
Ravens +2
This will probably be the only upset of this round. Two of the hottest teams in the league. Everyone knows the ravens are my super bowl pick. This is the only team I can see knocking the chiefs out and I love how they got to avoid them until the conference championship. The problem with the bills is they have no running game. I don’t care how good your offense is eventually come playoff time you will have to run the ball. They literally have Allen running qb keepers to have a running game. I thought this game would be a pick but we are getting to points. I would like this less if they were the favorites on the road but the ravens are probably the best in the league as dogs. The Ravens have covered five consecutive games as an underdog, six consecutive as an underdog in the playoffs, and seven consecutive on the road in the playoffs. They are also 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. A big problem I don’t like is buffalo lives on third down. They lead the league in third down conversions and Ravens are second in the league in third down stops. The defense is underrated for the ravens and they have the better coach and running game. The last two mvps before Lamar were super bowl champions the year after they were MVP and Lamar is on his way. Give me the points even though we won’t need them. The bills were decent size long shots to win the super bowl and they are still a year away. Vegas is hardly wrong and ravens and chiefs were the top favorites coming into the year.