Chargers at Bills (Bills -5.5)
The Bills are on a BYE week and that will give the bettors something to be excited about. Bills are coming off a great showing in Arizona, but off a loss. Most of the sharp bettors moved the Bills up in the power rankings because of this. Motivation for Bills off a loss is something we have to consider and also another west coast road trip at the 49ers. Bills need to be ultra-focused here for this game and they should be with the Dolphins hot on the Bills heels right now for the division race. Chargers will play Miami in Week 10 and a loss would raise serious concerns for the Chargers. Not to mention the Chargers will be playing a east coast trip in the 1pm time slot. Chargers won’t get much healthier from Week 11 to 12. In fact the Chargers stand a good chance of losing players while the Bills are rested off a bye. Therefore, this line can only go up. A Chargers Week 10 loss with any injuries to any key player on either side of the ball results in this line moving to Bills -7 or above.
Ravens at Pittsburgh (Pitt -140)
The public bettors will flock to the Steelers with an impressive with against the Jaguars. The Sharps will flock to the Ravens with extra rest. I’m thinking along the line of the Ravens making three straight road trips. I’m also thinking about the Steelers putting a nail in the coffin for the Ravens division hopes. If the Steelers win this game, they all but wrap up the NFC North. Ravens are also off a wet and rainy tough outing at Foxboro. Sure they came off a loss and that does help the Ravens, but I wouldn’t be surprised with that much moisture in the air if we see Ravens players coming up positive with Covid over the next week. It’s a shot in the dark, but we should consider all things that could impact this line. The Steelers also have a layup game after this at home against Washington. Pittsburgh could be looking at 11-0 heading into a showdown at Buffalo. It’s one game at a time, but we don’t want to lay any points in this game. These games tend to land in that 1-3 area and the -1 won’t surface for any reason unless the Ravens do breakout with Covid. I would assume the ML is the correct wager as of right now.
Saints at Broncos (Saints -6)
The Broncos will fall into the worst teams of the league conversation if Miami wins on Sunday. Let’s say the Broncos do lose that game and they fall to 3-7 on the year. The clear-cut spotlight for the Broncos get shifted to the quarterback. They will say neither guy is good and this team won’t be able to handle the firepower of the Saints. The Dolphins secondary will make any quarterback and wide receiver core look bad. It’s unlikely the Broncos get much respect winning a game at home though with such a short line. We also have the potential of a Broncos ugly loss in a game in which Tua delivers and the Miami defense again provides points. The oddmakers and public will be drooling over this big win streak for Miami only making the Broncos look worse. Winston will take the controls for the Saints and if they lose a close game, it’s not going to look all that bad. This line will remain around the same. If Winston plays well and the Falcons show up as lame ducks as they do at times, this line will jump to -7 or above. The Falcons defense has the dynamics to make Winston look great. The talk will be of the Saints being healthy going into this Broncos game and the Saints rush defense and Lattimore potentially coming back. It’s a string of things to only make this game go higher as of right now.