I had originally loaded bet the Eagles this week @+7 (-105), I just took Pittsburgh -7 (-108) at double that original amount to change sides. I rarely do this, I sometimes backpedal out of a play and eat the juice...flipping sides is different. I am posting this because I know there are people that look at my picks and I don't want confusion when anyone sees both sides picked there.
I am on the Steelers, and here is why. Uncovered 2 totally different situations that fit this game, both very strong and quite simple. 1st one is unbeaten home favs with extra rest...THAT'S IT! NO other parameters. That very simple situation is 16-1 ATS. If you want to have them playing a team with a losing record it is 11-0 ATS.
The other one says to fade the Eagles. IMO when I find strong queries where 1 picks one side and and the other 1 fades the other team, we have an extremely strong situation. This one says to play against a road team off a win as a 6 pt or more dog, and they are 6 pt or more dogs again. There are 2 other parameters that at first glance sound contrived, until you evaluate them. In that win they did not allow 35 points and they scored at least 17. All those point restrictions do is eliminate games that were won with extraordinary offensive OR defensive performances. If they had won and allowed 35 that would mean they had a superior offensive output, that offensive momentum might carry over to this game. On the flipside, they scored at least 17 means they did not have a defensive effort that was so good the momentum on defense carries over. Just a normal run of the mill win in which they didn't perform out of their mind on either side of the ball. Teams off significant sized dog wins can't repeat the trick B2B, they are 5-28 ATS and 0-33 SU!!