Went 6-4 over the last 2 weeks in NFL and looking to add my 3rd straight winning week. BOL to everyone!!
451 Cardinals (+3) over Giants
Gonna be the battle of the franchise rookie QBs and I’ll take Kyler Murray over Daniel Jones. With the line at 3 Vegas is saying these teams are even but I think the Cardinals are about a point better and I have them pulling off the road upset. The Giants have the 31st ranked pass defense giving up 285 yards per game, opposing QBs completing 69% of their passes and their allowing a 103 QB rating so Murray should have a big day like he did last week vs. the Falcons. Cardinals defense isn’t much better but they’re getting their best cornerback back from suspension in Patrick Peterson so that should help improve the pass defense. Giants are 1-4 ATS at home in their last 5 home games.
453 Texans (+1) over Colts
The Texans addressed a serious need in bringing in offensive tackle Larmey Tunsil to help the offensive line and over the last couple weeks the offensive line plus Deshaun Watson getting rid of the ball quicker has led to him being protected a lot better and now the Texans are looking like a legit contender. Colts passing defense is giving up 242 yards per game, 69% completion, 10 TDs to only 2 INTs and a 108 QB rating so Deshaun Watson should have a big day. Watson also should’ve had 2 more TDs last week but they were dropped by Will Fuller. A huge factor that’ll decide this game are the QBs. Brissett is a solid fill in for Andrew Luck but Watson is one of the 5 best young QBs in the league and he’s ranked 4th in QBR. Watson will be able to make plays downfield and with his legs to be the difference maker in this one. Road team has won and covered the last 3 games. Texans are 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 away games.
457 Vikings (-1) over Lions
Ever since Kirk Cousins has been called out by his receivers, he’s been playing very well the last 2 weeks averaging 302 pass yards and that should continue vs. the Lions on a short week. Also the Lions run defense ranks bottom 5 in the league so a healthy Dalvin Cook should take advantage of Detroit’s weak run defense as well. I haven’t been a supporter of Cousins over the last few weeks but if he can continue to keep this play up with the run game and defense the Vikings have they should be a legitimate threat to win the NFC north division.
469 Ravens (+3.5) over Seahawks
4 out of the 5 wins by the Seahawks have been one possession or one score games and a lot of credit has to go to Russell Wilson. Wilson has an elite ability to make plays when they’re not their and extend drives but so does Lamar Jackson and the Ravens are better away from home in the underdog role. Both teams yards per play differential is identical so I see this as another close game coming down to which QBs can make a few more plays than the other and limit turnovers. A big advantage for the Ravens defense is their defense is a lot better when starting corner Jimmy Smith is playing and he may be back for this game to add to the addition of Marcus Peters plus Russell Wilson will be without one of his reliable weapons in Will Dissly. Ravens have covered the last 6 as underdogs and they’re 5-1 ATS in the last 6 away games. Seahawks 0-4 ATS last 4 home games.
474 Cowboys (-2.5) over Eagles
The Cowboys seem to be getting healthy at the right time as the Eagles are not. Collins, Smith, Cobb, Cooper and Gallup are all expected to play Sunday night while the Eagles will be without Jackson, Maddox, Sproles, Peters, Bradham and they were already without their 2 starting defensive tackles so the Cowboys have a big advantage. Also the Cowboys may have some extra motivation hearing Doug Peterson guarantee a win then try and walk back his comments. Even with the Cowboys struggles over the last few weeks and haven’t beat a good team yet this season, I still believe they’re a few points better than the Eagles especially while the Eagles are dealing with injuries to key players. With key players expected to come back for the Cowboys on the offensive line and receiving positions, Dak Prescott should be able to take advantage of the Eagles secondary. Eagles are 0-3 ATS in the last 3 matchups.