From A/N per below. Not sure I can stomach a full game knowing I have the under as I have endured what is a putrid KC defense on other occasions t/out the year. They make Packers D look good...and that's scary. In any event, food for thought. If it goes much higher, there is definite value on the under, probably still is now and given heavy public backing, to me there is only one way to go on this and that's contrarian and under.
With coach Reid, no home team has been more profitable for under bettors than the Chiefs, who have a 32-17-1 record to the under since 2013 (including playoffs), good for a 27.2% return on investment (per Bet Labs).
And it’s not just road teams that have played worse in Kansas City this season (per the RotoViz Game Splits App):
Home Games: 52.81 total | 50.38 points scored | Chiefs 32.38 | Opponents 18
Road Games: 55.19 total | 72.87 points scored | Chiefs 38.25 | Opponents 34.62
Throughout the Reid era, the Chiefs have scored 3.08 fewer points at home and opponents have scored 6.25 fewer points in Kansas City.
Looking at just this year those numbers don't mean anything to me. Look at the teams Kansas City played at home versus who they played on the road. Outside of the divisional games they played Baltimore, Cincinnati, Arizona, San Francisco, and Jacksonville. Not good offensive teams. On the road they played New England, Los Angeles, Pittsburgh, Cleveland, and Seattle. A much different class of teams offensively, clearly leading to more shootouts and skewing those numbers. As far as the long term numbers, you have to consider that this is an entirely different offensive scheme the Chiefs are running than what he was in his earlier tenure.