Okay, onward we go. We cashed last sunday with the Ravens covering the number at Arrowhead against the Chiefs. Overtime and the Ravens could have won the thing outright. But it cashed and that's what's important. Now 10-4 with the comp plays. This week I am going with what will not be a popular side. That usually bodes well though frankly. This week I am suggesting a play on #323 Arizona +10 at Atlanta. I trusted the Falcons last sunday at Green Bay and they started okay but were plagued by some silly turnovers, penalties and sloppy tackling. In other words they did not look like a focused football team. I am not suggesting they are mailing it in. These are professional athletes who do for the large part treasure their jobs. They do know they have a pretty good gig. However when a season falls so short on expectations as this Falcons season clearly has teams do seem to struggle staying focused down the stretch. Yes, both these teams are in pretty much the same boat. So why the cardinals? Too many points, plain and simple. I am not about to lay double digits with this Falcons team at the current time. I don't trust them. And with Julio Jones not 100% that helps our cause. When healthy, I still consider Jones and DeAndre Hopkins of the Texans the best two wide outs in the league. If Arizona can go into Lambeau and knock off Green Bay then I am confident they can travel to Atlanta and cover this ten point spread. Home field advantage? Not exactly considering the Falcons have covered the number on one game in the last six at home. The Cardinals surprisingly enough are a very respectable 17-8 in their last 24 December ball games. The Cardinals usually pay out like a loose slot on the road when going up against teams sporting a losing home mark. They have been money for their backers in fourteen of the last nineteen in that spot. Trends are nice and yes, I do my due diligence but as I mentioned in one of my write ups please always keep in mind fellas that these are all not news to the odds makers. It's all already been baked into the number. I just think the public perception of Atlanta at home is still a little too lofty. These are not the Dirty Birds any more. This is just a struggling football team with a coach in Quinn that will likely be gone soon. Take the generous points here and the Cardinals to keep it close enough.
Okay, just a few things on the business end. If I don't mention this stuff I get in the doghouse, lol. We cashed again last night with the Chargers getting the outright at Arrowhead against the Chiefs. I was at the game and it was an angry crowd outside the stadium Monday night. Chiefs are having a great season but you know how it is with most, what have you done for me lately. But props to the Chargers as they go into very hostile territory and get the big win. And without Melvin Gordon to boot. I have my sunday NFL featured package now loaded. It has two Triple Star releases and one double star for the typical price of one. They have also posted the rest of season football packages. Every bowl and NFL release through the Super Bowl. My clients know I typically conclude football, college or pro with a strong kick. 67% Bowl winners last two years combined. 83% on the triples. In NFL have cashed 26 of my last 35 playoff Triples, 73%. Have won 10 of my last 12 super bowl releases as well. Anyway, this is a reasonable offer from the home office. A ton of folks have taken advantage and it is worth a look.
Back to work. I am still waiting on some stuff in Saturday NFL. If I pull the trigger I'll tweet it out as I always do. Hope everyone enjoys their weekend. Good luck with your action.