Attached are my updated power ratings on every team, and their rating the week before. Additionally, I show each team's Home Field Advantage (a blank indicates use an average HFA). To calculate a spread, take the difference between the teams, and adjust for HFA. Note, if your calculated point spread is above 7, it typically requires a small adjustment downward, to reflect the 4th quarter of most of these games being more of a pk'm type situation.
The vast majority of cappers use 3 for HFA. Actual HFA in recent years has been just below 3. However, in the case of two equal teams playing, I do think that typically "3" is the correct line in that situation.
On the capping front, I tipped off the NBA season with a huge 3* Winner on the Celtics. I have fired in two early CFB Best Bets, and my 1st NFL plays will be going up Late tonight!
https://bit.ly/2rhziFz
Rank |
Team |
Rating 10/17 |
Rating 10/10 |
Rating BOY |
HFA |
1 |
Rams |
7 |
7 |
5.5 |
|
2 |
KC |
4.5 |
4.5 |
0.5 |
|
3 |
New Eng |
4.5 |
4.5 |
6 |
|
4 |
New Orl |
4.5 |
4.5 |
5 |
3.5 |
5 |
Balt |
4 |
3 |
1 |
3.5 |
6 |
Phil |
3.5 |
2.5 |
3 |
|
7 |
Pit |
3 |
2.5 |
4.5 |
|
8 |
Chargers |
3 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
9 |
Min |
2.5 |
3 |
5.5 |
3.5 |
10 |
Jax |
2.5 |
3.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
11 |
GB |
1 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
12 |
Chic |
1 |
2 |
-1.5 |
|
13 |
Car |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
2.5 |
14 |
Cin |
0.5 |
0.5 |
-1.5 |
2 |
15 |
Dal |
0 |
-1.5 |
1 |
2.5 |
16 |
Hou |
-0.5 |
0 |
2.5 |
2 |
17 |
Det |
-0.5 |
-0.5 |
-1 |
|
18 |
Sea |
-1 |
-2 |
-1 |
4 |
19 |
Ten |
-1 |
0 |
-0.5 |
2 |
20 |
Atl |
-1 |
0 |
4 |
|
21 |
Mia |
-1.5 |
-1.5 |
-2 |
2 |
22 |
Wash |
-1.5 |
-1 |
-2 |
2 |
23 |
Tam |
-1.5 |
-2.5 |
-3.5 |
2 |
24 |
Den |
-2 |
-2 |
-1 |
|
25 |
NYJ |
-2 |
-3 |
-3.5 |
|
26 |
Clev |
-2.5 |
-1 |
-3 |
|
27 |
Ind |
-3 |
-1.5 |
-1.5 |
|
28 |
SF |
-4 |
-6 |
1.5 |
|
29 |
NYG |
-4.5 |
-3 |
-2 |
2 |
30 |
Az |
-5.5 |
-5.5 |
-3 |
|
31 |
Oak |
-6 |
-4 |
-2 |
2 |
32 |
Buf |
-8 |
-7 |
-5 |
|