12-1 Preseason, and an insane start to the regular season. 30-6 ATS in preseason/regular season in 2018 is not sustainable throughout the year, but we're gonna try to keep the run going. Twitter prop bets (@ThthamanPregame) are off to a slower start (20-15), but I expect them to heat up...
2* Minnesota Vikings +7 -120 *PUSH*
- Think this line drops once Talib/Peters injuries are more public knowledge. The Vikings have been the best team in the NFL ATS under Zimmer, and we get some line value off that blowout loss to the Rams
2* Bengals/Falcons OVER 49 -110 *WINNER*
- Both teams have become dead nuts OVER teams.. Atlanta due to injuries, and Bengals offense have played way above perception since OC Bill Lazor took over. Number just flat out way to low.
2* New England Patriots -6.5 -115 *WINNER*
- Just like the Steelers vs Bucs game, I have seen this movie before. I have the game lined Pats -8.5, and the Patriots are in an EXCELLENT situation, against a fraudulent below average 3-0 team within their own division
2* Chicago Bears -3 -110 *WINNER*
- What the Bucs are doing with no running game and a terrible defense is not sustainable. The Bears have big edges in both aspects, and I have them as the clearly better team with Tampa on a short week, and Fitzpatrick possibly feeling the pressure of Winston heating up.
2* Cincinnati Bengals +6 -110 *WINNER*
- I think Atlanta is the slightly better team, but with their defensive injuries it’s not by a big margin at all..
2* Green Bay Packers -9.5 -110 *WINNER*
- I have the game lined packers -13. Overreaction to the last week. Buffalo is coming off their super bowl win, on b2b road games while Green Bay is coming off a loss, making this a good situation for 1-1-1 packers team.
2* Eagles/Titans UNDER 41 -110 *LOSER*
- Mariota struggling to throw 20 yards down the field with his injury plus Wentz still not 100%, both teams lacking any perimeter explosiveness on offense and both DEAD NUTS UNDER teams.
2* New York Giants +3.5 -110 *LOSER*
- Line closes 3 with juice IMO.. Saints haven’t played well enough to be getting the respect of an elite team on the road. My line has Saints only -2.5...plus a good situation for NYG
2* Giants/Saints OVER 50.5 -110 *WINNER*
- Both teams dealing with crucial defensive injuries plus both teams being pass funnel defenses (and solid against the run) have to lead to big plays galore. Play as a 2* up to 51 and 1* up to 52.
2* Oakland Raiders -2.5 -110 *WINNER*
- I have a little bit of value on this game at a key number. Browns are also coming off a win they surely partied over, while Oakland is a 0-3 desperate team that has been leading in every single game this season in the third or fourth quarter, even against the mighty Rams. Finally a good spot for Oakland after awful ones all season.