Attached are my updated power ratings on every team, showing their rating to start the year, last week, and their current rating. Additionally, I show each team's Home Field Advantage (a blank indicates use an average HFA). I have just updated the HFAs for several teams! To calculate a spread, take the difference between the teams, and adjust for HFA. Note, if your calculated point spread is above 7, it typically requires a small adjustment downward, to reflect the 4th quarter of most of these games being more of a pk'm type situation.
The vast majority of cappers use 3 for HFA. Actual HFA in recent years has been around 2.5. However, in the case of two equal teams playing, I do think that typically "3" is the correct line in that situation.
The Eagles and Patriots are my top NFL teams!
|
|
Sept 1 |
15-Nov |
Nov 21 |
HFA |
Arizona |
|
2.0 |
-7.0 |
-8.0 |
|
Atlanta |
MNF |
2.5 |
4.0 |
4.5 |
|
Baltimore |
|
-1.0 |
-1.5 |
-0.5 |
3.5 |
Buffalo |
|
-4.5 |
-2.0 |
-3.0 |
|
Carolina |
bye |
1.0 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
2.5 |
Chicago |
|
-4.0 |
-4.0 |
-4.5 |
|
Cincy |
|
1.0 |
-2.5 |
-2.5 |
2 |
Cleveland |
|
-8.0 |
-9.0 |
-9.0 |
2 |
Dallas |
|
2.5 |
1.5 |
-0.5 |
2 |
Denver |
|
0.0 |
-5.0 |
-5.0 |
2.5 |
Detroit |
|
-2.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
GreenBay |
|
4.0 |
-6.5 |
-8.0 |
3.5 |
Houston |
|
-1.0 |
-8.0 |
-8.0 |
2 |
Indy |
bye |
-9.0 |
-6.5 |
-6.0 |
2 |
Jax |
|
-3.5 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
KC |
|
1.0 |
3.5 |
2.5 |
|
Rams |
|
-4.5 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
|
Chargers |
|
0.0 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
0 |
Mia |
|
-3.0 |
-6.5 |
-6.5 |
1.5 |
Minny |
|
0.0 |
3.5 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
NEW Eng |
Mexico |
10.0 |
6.0 |
7.0 |
|
New Orl |
|
0.0 |
5.0 |
4.5 |
3.5 |
NYG |
|
0.5 |
-9.0 |
-7.5 |
2 |
NYJ |
bye |
-11.5 |
-3.0 |
-2.5 |
|
Oakland |
Mexico |
0.5 |
0.5 |
-1.0 |
2.0 |
Philly |
|
2.0 |
6.0 |
7.0 |
2.5 |
Pit |
Thurs |
5.0 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
|
SF |
bye |
-5.5 |
-9.0 |
-8.0 |
|
Sea |
MNF |
4.0 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
4 |
Tampa |
|
0.5 |
-3.5 |
-3.5 |
2 |
Ten |
Thurs |
2.0 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
2 |
Wash |
|
-1.5 |
-1.0 |
0.0 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
I am in action Today with a huge 3* CFB Release. 6-1 in CFB Saturday, let's keep the momentum going!
http://bit.ly/2rhziFz