Attached are my updated power ratings on every team, showing their rating to start the year, last week, and their current rating. Additionally, I show each team's Home Field Advantage (a blank indicates use an average HFA). To calculate a spread, take the difference between the teams, and adjust for HFA. Note, if your calculated point spread is above 7, it typically requires a small adjustment downward, to reflect the 4th quarter of most of these games being more of a pk'm type situation.
The vast majority of cappers use 3 for HFA. Actual HFA in recent years has been around 2.7. However, in the case of two equal teams playing, I do think that typically "3" is the correct line in that situation.
Kansas City remains my No1 rated team, with FOUR teams just a 1/2 game behind. Do you agree? If not, who would you rank no1?
I am in action in the NFL and CFB with early releases, I look to build on my 66% YTD NFL season, and I have four early releases! In CFB, I LOVE one select game this week, my 3* Big 10 Game Of the Year.
http://bit.ly/2rhziFz
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|
1-Sep |
11-Oct |
18-Oct |
HFA |
Arizona |
|
2.0 |
-5.0 |
-3.5 |
|
Atlanta |
|
2.5 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
Baltimore |
|
-1.0 |
-1.0 |
-2.5 |
|
Buffalo |
BYE |
-4.5 |
-1.5 |
-1.0 |
|
Carolina |
th |
1.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
|
Chicago |
|
-4.0 |
-5.5 |
-4.0 |
2 |
Cincy |
BYE |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
|
Cleveland |
|
-8.0 |
-8.0 |
-9.0 |
|
Dallas |
BYE |
2.5 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
2 |
Denver |
|
0.0 |
3.5 |
2.0 |
|
Detroit |
|
-2.0 |
-1.5 |
-1.5 |
|
GreenBay |
|
4.0 |
4.0 |
-7.0 |
4 |
Houston |
|
-1.0 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
|
Indy |
mnf |
-9.0 |
-7.5 |
-8.0 |
|
Jax |
|
-3.5 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
1.5 |
KC |
|
1.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
|
Rams |
|
-4.5 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
Chargers |
|
0.0 |
-1.0 |
0.0 |
0 |
Mia |
|
-3.0 |
-4.0 |
-3.5 |
1.5 |
Minny |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
3.5 |
NEW Eng |
|
10.0 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
4 |
New Orl |
|
0.0 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
|
NYG |
|
0.5 |
-6.0 |
-5.0 |
2 |
NYJ |
|
-11.5 |
-7.5 |
-6.0 |
1.5 |
Oakland |
|
0.5 |
-5.0 |
-0.5 |
|
Philly |
th |
2.0 |
2.0 |
3.5 |
|
Pit |
|
5.0 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
|
SF |
|
-5.5 |
-4.5 |
-4.0 |
2 |
Sea |
BYE |
4.0 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
4 |
Tampa |
|
0.5 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
2 |
Ten |
mnf |
2.0 |
-1.0 |
0.5 |
|
Wash |
|
-1.5 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
|