Attached are my updated power ratings on the remaining playoff teams (along with the other teams) showing their rating to start the year, along with their rating last week, and their current rating. Additionally, I show each team's Home Field Advantage (a blank HFA indicates an average HFA). To calculate a spread, take the difference between the teams, and adjust for HFA. Note, if your calculated point spread is above 7, it typically requires a small adjustment downward, to reflect the 4th quarter of most of these games being more of a pk'm type situation.
Note, most handicappers use 3 for an average HFA. Recent data (the last 3 years) suggests 2.5 MAY be a more accurate number.
|
6-Sep |
4-Jan |
11-Jan |
HFA |
|
|
|
|
|
Arizona |
5 |
1.5 |
|
3.5 |
Atlanta |
-1.5 |
6 |
6 |
|
Baltimore |
1 |
1 |
|
|
Buffalo |
0 |
-3.5 |
|
|
Carolina |
6 |
-2 |
|
|
Chicago |
-2.5 |
-6 |
|
2 |
Cincy |
3.5 |
-0.5 |
|
|
Cleveland |
-7.5 |
-11 |
|
|
Dallas |
-1.5 |
6 |
6 |
2 |
Denver |
0.5 |
0 |
|
|
Detroit |
-2 |
-1.5 |
|
|
Green Bay |
5.5 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
Houston |
1 |
-2 |
-1.5 |
|
Indy |
-0.5 |
-1.5 |
|
|
Jax |
-2 |
-4 |
|
1.5 |
KC |
3 |
3.5 |
4 |
|
LA |
-2.5 |
-8.5 |
|
|
Mia |
-1.5 |
0 |
|
1.5 |
Minny |
0 |
-1 |
|
4 |
NEW Eng |
1.5 |
11 |
11 |
4 |
New Orl |
-3 |
1 |
|
|
NYG |
-1 |
2 |
|
2 |
NYJ |
0 |
-7 |
|
1.5 |
Oakland |
0.5 |
-3.5 |
|
|
Philly |
-5 |
-1.5 |
|
|
Pit |
5 |
5.5 |
4.5 |
2 |
SD |
-1.5 |
-3.5 |
|
1.5 |
SF |
-7 |
-9 |
|
2 |
Sea |
5.5 |
3.5 |
4 |
4 |
Tampa |
0 |
0.5 |
|
2 |
Ten |
-3 |
-2 |
|
|
Wash |
-0.5 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Buffalo |
Manuel |
|
|
Ten |
Cassel |
|
|
|
Jets |
Fitz |
|
|
|
Oak |
Cook |
|
|
|
Mia |
Moore |
|
|
|
Houston |
Osweiller |
|
|
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