21 Biggest Vegas Trends (NFL Week Twelve)
Bears have covered only 16 of their last 42 games
Bengals at home during regular season: lost only 5 of last 22 ATS
Bills after losing on the road: 25-6 ATS their next game
Broncos (+3 hosting New England): Only the 5th game out of their last 58 that Denver is an underdog
Bucs in November: 14-3 ATS
Cardinals (-10.5 at San Fran): Only the second time since 1989 Arizona is favored by double digits on the road (-13 at Detroit in 2009)
Chiefs only the 4th team since 1989 to have covered the spread in each of their last 3 games by 20+ points (three prior teams 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS their next game)
Chiefs as home favorite: 10-22 ATS
Jags (-4 hosting San Diego): Jacksonville favored for only the 4th time in their last 53 games (favored two games in a row for the first time in 5 years)
Lions after a win: covered the next game only 8 of the last 30 times
Lions playing on Thanksgiving: 2-9 SU and 2-9 ATS (both wins coming the last two years)
Packers playing division opponent: 40-17 ATS
Packers vs. Bears: 10-1 SU (9-2 ATS)
Raiders (-1.5 at Detroit): Only FOURTH time Oakland is a road favorite since 2005 season.
Raiders road favorites for second straight week: in the last 20 seasons, this has happened only one other time (10/13/2002)
Raiders as a favorite: 6-21 ATS
Redskins: 14-28 ATS (since start of 2013 season)
Saints off a road loss: 24-6 ATS
Seahawks when playing a second straight home game: 21-6 ATS
Seahawks when playing a competitive (not favored by more than a TD) home game: 12-2 ATS
Steelers playing outside of Eastern Time Zone: 3-10 ATS
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I host a pro bettors roundtable – breaking down NFL Week Twelve from a Vegas perspective: https://soundcloud.com/pregame/dream-pod-vegas-preview-week-12
Vegas opinion compared to the College Football Playoff Committee: http://bit.ly/1kSPSIu