Super Bowl Odds (via William Hill)
Patriots Super Bowl odds downgraded from 7/1 to 12/1 in reaction to Deflategate Report
Season Win Totals (via Las Vegas Superbook)
Over/Under 10.5 wins (-130 toward the OVER)
Over/Under 10 wins (-150 toward the UNDER)
Movement downward of a half win plus adjustment in money line equates to greater than a FULL GAME downgrade.
Before Deflategate report:
Patriots favored by 6 point hosting Steelers on opening Thursday
Now, with Brady suspended
Patriots were initially adjusted to be favored by 1 point hosting Steelers
then, the early money at this new number came in on the Patriots.
Current Line: Patriots -2 over Steelers
Based on current number, Brady’s absence resulted in a 4 point downgrade.
Generally, Brady’s value is considered to be about 7 points per game – but New England has the advantage of the entire offseason to prepare for his absence, somewhat lessening the impact.
Over/Under Point Total for opener against Pittsburgh: adjusted downward from 53.5 to 49