As I see it, there are too many divergent trends and conflicting circumstances overall to comfortably get down on a side play in this climactic battle, although I'd lean toward the Pacers (+7), as the line has shifted toward them over the past few days. It's interesting to see that the oddsmaker is now allowing them only 7 points in this game, whereas in Indy's other road games they were catching 9.5. What is Vegas trying to tell us? That said, I believe the UNDER represents a better play in this contest, noting that in the last 4 games #7 dating back to 2005, the UNDER is 4-0. To wit, the average total points scored in the above games was a meager 189.25 (these games went UNDER by an average of 18.9ppg). As of this writing, the posted total for this game is 215, so with respect to the above data that line represents good value. Additionally, in PLO rounds 2-4 spanning the past 20 years, all games #7 have gone 11-1 UNDER (average final score/total points was a paltry 180). Both teams know how to play defense when they have to and - remember - this IS a GAME 7.

I think points will be hard to come by tonight, especially in the 2nd half as the screws tighten. Final NBA wager of the season: UNDER the posted total in game #7 tonight in Oklahoma City. May the best team win ... just don't score too many points! ... LOL. Good luck to all players!